Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Flames2
Avalanche5FinalSOG CGY 27 – COL 34Ball ArenaScoring
Final- 1st14:13Nathan MacKinnon (9)wrist shot · from Makar and NecasCGY 0 – COL 1
- 2nd02:37Martin Necas (7)PPG · snap shot · from Kadri and MacKinnonCGY 0 – COL 2
- 05:48Artturi Lehkonen (11)snap shot · from Makar and ToewsCGY 0 – COL 3
- 09:07Brock Nelson (4)tip-in · from Landeskog and MakarCGY 0 – COL 4
- 10:50Joel Farabee (5)slap shot · from BacklundCGY 1 – COL 4
- 3rd01:59Martin Pospisil (3)snap shot · from Strome and ParekhCGY 2 – COL 4
- 04:09Artturi Lehkonen (12)tip-in · from Makar and ToewsCGY 2 – COL 5
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGY | 07 | 17 | 113 | 2 | 27 |
| COL | 110 | 314 | 110 | 5 | 34 |
Three stars
- ★
C. MakarCOL · D · 4 A - ★★
A. LehkonenCOL · L · 2 G - ★★★
M. NecasCOL · C · 1 G, 1 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 4.1 | 6 | 1.70 | 2 |
| Martin NecasCOL | 2.5 | 2 | 1.32 | 2 |
| Cale MakarCOL | 2.5 | 3 | 1.03 | 4 |
| Artturi LehkonenCOL | 2.3 | 4 | 0.95 | 2 |
| Brock NelsonCOL | 2.2 | 3 | 0.85 | 1 |
| Nazem KadriCOL | 2.8 | 2 | 0.83 | 1 |
| Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 1.9 | 1 | 0.66 | 1 |
| Jaden SchwartzCOL | 1.6 | 2 | 0.62 | 0 |
| Joel FarabeeCGY | 2.0 | 3 | 0.59 | 1 |
| Matt CoronatoCGY | 2.3 | 2 | 0.58 | 0 |
| Devon ToewsCOL | 1.7 | 1 | 0.54 | 2 |
| Matvei GridinCGY | 2.0 | 2 | 0.54 | 0 |
| Parker KellyCOL | 1.4 | 0 | 0.53 | 0 |
| Sam MalinskiCOL | 1.8 | 3 | 0.53 | 0 |
| T.J. HughesCOL | 2.0 | 2 | 0.51 | 0 |
| Nicolas RoyCOL | 1.2 | 0 | 0.47 | 0 |
Box score
FinalCalgary Flames
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. FarabeeL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:34 |
| M. PospisilC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 |
| M. BacklundC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:03 |
| Z. ParekhD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:04 |
| R. StromeC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:48 |
| S. NemecD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23:06 |
| K. BahlD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23:02 |
| Z. WhitecloudD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20:32 |
| Y. KuznetsovD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18:44 |
| Y. SharangovichC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:52 |
| J. MiddletonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 |
| M. CoronatoR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:33 |
| A. SunievL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:23 |
| M. FrostC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 |
| M. GridinR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 |
| J. CastagnaC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:36 |
| A. KlapkaR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 |
| M. TsyplakovR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:11 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sergeev | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 60:00 | L |
Colorado Avalanche
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. MakarD | 0 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:27 |
| A. LehkonenL | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:48 |
| M. NecasC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:02 |
| N. MacKinnonC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:06 |
| D. ToewsD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 20:48 |
| B. NelsonC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 |
| N. KadriC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:57 |
| G. LandeskogL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:23 |
| S. MalinskiD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18:40 |
| B. KulakD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:32 |
| B. BurnsD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:28 |
| T. HughesR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:00 |
| N. JuulsenD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15:24 |
| J. SchwartzL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:36 |
| N. RoyC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:32 |
| P. KellyC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:27 |
| F. SvechkovC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 |
| G. BrindleyC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Blackwood | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 60:00 | W |
Team stats
Final| CGY | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Shots on goal | 34 |
| 19/51 | Faceoffs | 32/51 |
| 0/0 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 6 | Penalty minutes | 0 |
| 25 | Hits | 13 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 17 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 2 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreCGY 2.5 – COL 4.0
Win chanceCOL 72%
Total 6.5Under 51%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.