Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Golden Knights3
Penguins2FinalSOG VGK 23 – PIT 25PPG Paints ArenaScoring
Final- 1st16:36Tomas Hertl (6)PPG · deflection · from Marner and EichelVGK 1 – PIT 0
- 3rd01:09Tommy Novak (5)wrist shot · from Korczak and StastneyVGK 1 – PIT 1
- 09:58Rickard Rakell (5)wrist shot · from Novak and KorczakVGK 1 – PIT 2
- 11:19Trevor Connelly (6)wrist shot · from LauzonVGK 2 – PIT 2
- 19:25Tomas Hertl (7)PPG · wrist shot · from Stone and EichelVGK 3 – PIT 2
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 110 | 09 | 24 | 3 | 23 |
| PIT | 07 | 07 | 211 | 2 | 25 |
Three stars
- ★
T. HertlVGK · C · 2 G - ★★
T. ConnellyVGK · L · 1 G - ★★★
R. RakellPIT · R · 1 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack EichelVGK | 2.8 | 1 | 1.04 | 2 |
| Mark StoneVGK | 2.0 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 |
| Mitch MarnerVGK | 2.1 | 3 | 0.97 | 1 |
| Sidney CrosbyPIT | 2.0 | 1 | 0.94 | 0 |
| Erik KarlssonPIT | 1.9 | 2 | 0.89 | 0 |
| Rickard RakellPIT | 2.4 | 2 | 0.76 | 1 |
| Ivan BarbashevVGK | 1.6 | 1 | 0.69 | 0 |
| Tommy NovakPIT | 1.6 | 5 | 0.62 | 2 |
| Egor ChinakhovPIT | 1.8 | 3 | 0.61 | 0 |
| Trevor ConnellyVGK | 1.8 | 4 | 0.60 | 1 |
| Tomas HertlVGK | 2.1 | 3 | 0.59 | 2 |
| Ben KindelPIT | 2.1 | 0 | 0.57 | 0 |
| Justin BrazeauPIT | 1.4 | 1 | 0.49 | 0 |
| William KarlssonVGK | 1.8 | 2 | 0.49 | 0 |
| Brett HowdenVGK | 1.4 | 0 | 0.45 | 0 |
| Shea TheodoreVGK | 1.8 | 0 | 0.45 | 0 |
Box score
FinalVegas Golden Knights
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. HertlC | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15:11 |
| J. EichelC | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:16 |
| T. ConnellyL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:26 |
| M. MarnerR | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:34 |
| M. StoneR | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:40 |
| J. LauzonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16:33 |
| B. McNabbD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 21:58 |
| S. TheodoreD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21:24 |
| N. HanifinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:31 |
| R. AnderssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 19:36 |
| W. KarlssonC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:10 |
| B. HowdenC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14:31 |
| B. BowmanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:58 |
| D. CoghlanD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 |
| I. BarbashevL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:16 |
| N. DowdC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 09:20 |
| R. LavoieC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 08:37 |
| M. GatcombC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 07:52 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hill | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 59:58 | W |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. NovakC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:13 |
| K. KorczakD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:47 |
| R. RakellR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:14 |
| S. StastneyD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:48 |
| E. KarlssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:44 |
| S. CrosbyC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:30 |
| K. LetangD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:13 |
| S. GirardD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:54 |
| V. KoivunenR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:50 |
| B. LizotteC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17:06 |
| N. RobertsonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:04 |
| D. CarlileD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:21 |
| B. KindelC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:32 |
| C. DewarC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 |
| A. KuzmenkoL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:41 |
| E. ChinakhovR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:19 |
| H. LapierreC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:55 |
| J. BrazeauR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 08:14 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Silovs | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 59:36 | L |
Team stats
Final| VGK | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Shots on goal | 25 |
| 28/56 | Faceoffs | 28/56 |
| 2/4 | Power play | 0/6 |
| 12 | Penalty minutes | 8 |
| 29 | Hits | 9 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 8 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 19 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 3 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreVGK 3.1 – PIT 3.2
Win chancePIT 52%
Total 6.5Under 53%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.