Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Senators2
Sabres1FinalSOG OTT 30 – BUF 24KeyBank CenterScoring
Final- 2nd14:00Peyton Krebs (1)deflection · from Thompson and BensonOTT 0 – BUF 1
- 3rd11:33Shane Pinto (6)backhand · from Tomasino and ChabotOTT 1 – BUF 1
- 16:51Michael Amadio (5)snap shot · from Stützle and ZetterlundOTT 2 – BUF 1
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 011 | 012 | 27 | 2 | 30 |
| BUF | 010 | 18 | 06 | 1 | 24 |
Three stars
- ★
S. ErssonOTT · G · .958 SV% - ★★
M. AmadioOTT · R · 1 G - ★★★
C. EllisBUF · G · .933 SV%
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim StützleOTT | 2.5 | 5 | 1.11 | 1 |
| Tage ThompsonBUF | 3.1 | 2 | 0.99 | 1 |
| Drake BathersonOTT | 2.2 | 2 | 0.91 | 0 |
| Rasmus DahlinBUF | 2.3 | 1 | 0.86 | 0 |
| Zach BensonBUF | 2.1 | 3 | 0.85 | 1 |
| Jack QuinnBUF | 2.5 | 1 | 0.80 | 0 |
| Jake SandersonOTT | 1.9 | 1 | 0.75 | 0 |
| Shane PintoOTT | 2.2 | 3 | 0.68 | 1 |
| Dylan CozensOTT | 2.4 | 0 | 0.68 | 0 |
| Noah OstlundBUF | 1.7 | 4 | 0.66 | 0 |
| Claude GirouxOTT | 1.7 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 |
| Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 1.4 | 0 | 0.59 | 0 |
| Jason ZuckerBUF | 1.6 | 1 | 0.56 | 0 |
| Owen PowerBUF | 1.6 | 1 | 0.55 | 0 |
| Thomas ChabotOTT | 1.8 | 1 | 0.53 | 1 |
| Josh DoanBUF | 1.7 | 3 | 0.52 | 0 |
Box score
FinalOttawa Senators
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. PintoC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21:41 |
| M. AmadioR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 |
| T. ChabotD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 24:18 |
| T. StützleC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:03 |
| F. ZetterlundL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16:19 |
| P. TomasinoR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:44 |
| J. SandersonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25:32 |
| J. SpenceD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 21:57 |
| A. ZubD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 20:58 |
| D. BathersonR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:13 |
| C. GirouxR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:17 |
| D. CozensC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:11 |
| N. CousinsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 |
| C. YakemchukD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:57 |
| N. MatinpaloD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12:15 |
| S. HallidayC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:28 |
| S. BlaisL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 05:54 |
| H. HodgsonR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 04:47 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ersson | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 59:12 | W |
Buffalo Sabres
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. KrebsC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:32 |
| Z. BensonL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:16 |
| T. ThompsonC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:34 |
| O. PowerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:27 |
| M. SamuelssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 24:57 |
| R. DahlinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:23 |
| O. ZellwegerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23:48 |
| N. OstlundC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:27 |
| J. QuinnR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:32 |
| J. DoanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:45 |
| J. ZuckerL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:16 |
| R. McLeodC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:16 |
| B. MalenstynL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11:26 |
| T. KozakC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:21 |
| J. NorrisC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 |
| Z. MetsaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 09:09 |
| S. CarrickC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 08:41 |
| L. CrevierD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 08:05 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ellis | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 58:25 | L |
Team stats
Final| OTT | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Shots on goal | 24 |
| 37/53 | Faceoffs | 16/53 |
| 0/2 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 4 | Penalty minutes | 4 |
| 23 | Hits | 24 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 20 | Giveaways | 12 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 5 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreOTT 3.1 – BUF 3.2
Win chanceBUF 51%
Total 6.5Under 54%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.