NHL Shots on Goal
Every skater's shot rate per 60 minutes, shrunk toward his position so a fourth-liner's hot week doesn't read as a top line.
Thu, Oct 22, graded
2026-27 · 2791 gradedThu, Oct 22+14.30u120-86 · 58.3%
Season to date−28.76u1480-1311 · 53.0%
Every over, blind−253.30u1327-1464 · 47.5%
Every player a book priced, graded the morning after on the side our number preferred at the close. Not picks — nothing here was posted. Units are a flat 1u at the best closing price on that side across books, which is a little kinder than any one book. The dashed cell takes the over on every line with no model at all — if we can't beat that, the number isn't adding anything.
Thu, Oct 22 · graded at the close
209 skaters a book priced, across 12 games. Each is graded on the side our number preferred at the close, at the line most books hung and the best closing price on that side. Green hit, red missed.
Games12
Position
Result
SkaterMatchupResult
1
VAN vs DETFilip ChytilCWizLine 1.64 · 52.0% underBook 34.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+165Hit+1.65u
VAN vs DET1SOG
VAN vs DETFilip ChytilCWizLine 1.64 · 52.0% underBook 34.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+165Hit+1.65uVAN vs DET1SOG2
EDM vs CARLeon DraisaitlCWizLine 2.28 · 60.6% underBook 44.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+110Miss−1.00u
EDM vs CAR4SOG
EDM vs CARLeon DraisaitlCWizLine 2.28 · 60.6% underBook 44.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+110Miss−1.00uEDM vs CAR4SOG3
PIT vs FLAErik KarlssonDWizLine 1.94 · 69.1% underBook 56.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−155Miss−1.00u
PIT vs FLA3SOG
PIT vs FLAErik KarlssonDWizLine 1.94 · 69.1% underBook 56.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−155Miss−1.00uPIT vs FLA3SOG4
STL vs VGKColton ParaykoDWizLine 1.20 · 66.4% underBook 53.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−135Miss−1.00u
STL vs VGK2SOG
STL vs VGKColton ParaykoDWizLine 1.20 · 66.4% underBook 53.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−135Miss−1.00uSTL vs VGK2SOG5
NSH @ BOSMavrik BourqueCWizLine 2.06 · 59.7% overBook 47.9% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−104Hit+0.96u
NSH @ BOS3SOG
NSH @ BOSMavrik BourqueCWizLine 2.06 · 59.7% overBook 47.9% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−104Hit+0.96uNSH @ BOS3SOG6
DET @ VANDylan LarkinCWizLine 3.25 · 61.3% overBook 51.4% at the closeOver 2.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00u
DET @ VAN2SOG
DET @ VANDylan LarkinCWizLine 3.25 · 61.3% overBook 51.4% at the closeOver 2.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00uDET @ VAN2SOG7
DET @ VANAndrew CoppCWizLine 1.91 · 55.9% overBook 46.1% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+110Miss−1.00uDET @ VAN1SOG
DET @ VANAndrew CoppCWizLine 1.91 · 55.9% overBook 46.1% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+110Miss−1.00uDET @ VAN1SOG8
UTA @ SEAAndrew PeekeDWizLine 0.96 · 75.0% underBook 65.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−235Hit+0.43u
UTA @ SEA1SOG
UTA @ SEAAndrew PeekeDWizLine 0.96 · 75.0% underBook 65.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−235Hit+0.43uUTA @ SEA1SOG9
OTT vs SJSJake SandersonDWizLine 1.92 · 69.7% underBook 60.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−180Hit+0.56u
OTT vs SJS2SOG
OTT vs SJSJake SandersonDWizLine 1.92 · 69.7% underBook 60.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−180Hit+0.56uOTT vs SJS2SOG10
PIT vs FLATommy NovakCWizLine 1.58 · 53.8% underBook 44.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+110Hit+1.10uPIT vs FLA0SOG
PIT vs FLATommy NovakCWizLine 1.58 · 53.8% underBook 44.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+110Hit+1.10uPIT vs FLA0SOG11
NSH @ BOSRyan O'ReillyCWizLine 2.24 · 64.1% overBook 54.8% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−140Miss−1.00uNSH @ BOS1SOG
NSH @ BOSRyan O'ReillyCWizLine 2.24 · 64.1% overBook 54.8% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−140Miss−1.00uNSH @ BOS1SOG12
STL vs VGKMason McTavishCWizLine 1.93 · 69.4% underBook 60.3% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−175Hit+0.57uSTL vs VGK2SOG
STL vs VGKMason McTavishCWizLine 1.93 · 69.4% underBook 60.3% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−175Hit+0.57uSTL vs VGK2SOG13
STL vs VGKPhilip BrobergDWizLine 1.25 · 64.9% underBook 56.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−140Miss−1.00uSTL vs VGK3SOG
STL vs VGKPhilip BrobergDWizLine 1.25 · 64.9% underBook 56.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−140Miss−1.00uSTL vs VGK3SOG14
NYI vs LAKKyle PalmieriCWizLine 1.95 · 69.0% underBook 60.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−180Hit+0.56u
NYI vs LAK1SOG
NYI vs LAKKyle PalmieriCWizLine 1.95 · 69.0% underBook 60.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−180Hit+0.56uNYI vs LAK1SOG15
DAL vs WPGTyler SeguinCWizLine 1.52 · 55.9% underBook 47.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+110Miss−1.00u
DAL vs WPG3SOG
DAL vs WPGTyler SeguinCWizLine 1.52 · 55.9% underBook 47.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+110Miss−1.00uDAL vs WPG3SOG16
SJS @ OTTIvar StenbergLWWizLine 1.51 · 56.1% underBook 48.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−105Hit+0.95u
SJS @ OTT1SOG
SJS @ OTTIvar StenbergLWWizLine 1.51 · 56.1% underBook 48.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−105Hit+0.95uSJS @ OTT1SOG17
OTT vs SJSWarren FoegeleLWWizLine 1.39 · 59.9% underBook 52.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−115Hit+0.87uOTT vs SJS1SOG
OTT vs SJSWarren FoegeleLWWizLine 1.39 · 59.9% underBook 52.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−115Hit+0.87uOTT vs SJS1SOG18
EDM vs CARZach HymanLWWizLine 2.12 · 64.7% underBook 57.0% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−155Hit+0.65uEDM vs CAR2SOG
EDM vs CARZach HymanLWWizLine 2.12 · 64.7% underBook 57.0% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−155Hit+0.65uEDM vs CAR2SOG19
ANA @ NJDMikael GranlundCWizLine 2.02 · 58.7% overBook 51.3% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00u
ANA @ NJD1SOG
ANA @ NJDMikael GranlundCWizLine 2.02 · 58.7% overBook 51.3% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00uANA @ NJD1SOG20
STL vs VGKJimmy SnuggerudRWWizLine 2.17 · 63.4% underBook 56.0% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−132Hit+0.76uSTL vs VGK1SOG
STL vs VGKJimmy SnuggerudRWWizLine 2.17 · 63.4% underBook 56.0% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−132Hit+0.76uSTL vs VGK1SOG21
NSH @ BOSRoman JosiDWizLine 2.63 · 47.9% overBook 40.6% at the closeOver 2.5 SOG+132Miss−1.00uNSH @ BOS2SOG
NSH @ BOSRoman JosiDWizLine 2.63 · 47.9% overBook 40.6% at the closeOver 2.5 SOG+132Miss−1.00uNSH @ BOS2SOG22
BOS vs NSHDavid PastrnakRWWizLine 3.26 · 59.4% underBook 52.0% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83u
BOS vs NSH3SOG
BOS vs NSHDavid PastrnakRWWizLine 3.26 · 59.4% underBook 52.0% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83uBOS vs NSH3SOG23
VAN vs DETFilip HronekDWizLine 1.57 · 53.9% underBook 46.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+100Hit+1.00uVAN vs DET0SOG
VAN vs DETFilip HronekDWizLine 1.57 · 53.9% underBook 46.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+100Hit+1.00uVAN vs DET0SOG24
LAK @ NYIMats ZuccarelloRWWizLine 1.88 · 54.9% overBook 47.6% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00u
LAK @ NYI0SOG
LAK @ NYIMats ZuccarelloRWWizLine 1.88 · 54.9% overBook 47.6% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uLAK @ NYI0SOG25
STL vs VGKDalibor DvorskyRWWizLine 1.15 · 68.3% underBook 61.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−190Miss−1.00uSTL vs VGK2SOG
STL vs VGKDalibor DvorskyRWWizLine 1.15 · 68.3% underBook 61.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−190Miss−1.00uSTL vs VGK2SOG26
DET @ VANEmmitt FinnieCWizLine 1.99 · 57.9% overBook 50.6% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−118Hit+0.85uDET @ VAN2SOG
DET @ VANEmmitt FinnieCWizLine 1.99 · 57.9% overBook 50.6% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−118Hit+0.85uDET @ VAN2SOG27
FLA @ PITCarter VerhaegheCWizLine 2.24 · 61.4% underBook 54.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−135Hit+0.74u
FLA @ PIT1SOG
FLA @ PITCarter VerhaegheCWizLine 2.24 · 61.4% underBook 54.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−135Hit+0.74uFLA @ PIT1SOG28
CAR @ EDMK'Andre MillerDWizLine 1.58 · 46.1% overBook 39.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+135Miss−1.00u
CAR @ EDM0SOG
CAR @ EDMK'Andre MillerDWizLine 1.58 · 46.1% overBook 39.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+135Miss−1.00uCAR @ EDM0SOG29
DET @ VANViktor ArvidssonLWWizLine 3.05 · 57.3% overBook 50.2% at the closeOver 2.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00uDET @ VAN2SOG
DET @ VANViktor ArvidssonLWWizLine 3.05 · 57.3% overBook 50.2% at the closeOver 2.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00uDET @ VAN2SOG30
OTT vs SJSShane PintoCWizLine 2.25 · 64.2% overBook 57.1% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69uOTT vs SJS4SOG
OTT vs SJSShane PintoCWizLine 2.25 · 64.2% overBook 57.1% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69uOTT vs SJS4SOGNot picks. Nothing here was posted — this is every priced player, graded the morning after, so the record can't be cherry-picked. Tonight's shots on goal board →