A winning week across the board
Plays of the Day finished 31-16 combined, good for +12.32 units at a 66% win rate and a 26% ROI. Every sport that posted a Play of the Day this week came out ahead in units, which doesn't happen often.
NFL led the way at 6-0 for +5.35 units. NBA went 11-6 for +4.94 units, a 65% win rate and a 29% ROI. NHL was the grinder of the three at 14-10 for +2.03 units, a 58% win rate and an 8% ROI.
NFL: perfect on interceptions
Six plays, six wins, no asterisks. Caleb Williams went under 0.5 interceptions at -120 and delivered a clean game. Sam Darnold went the other way, over 0.5 interceptions at -101, and threw one.
The board closed the week by hammering overs on interceptions across four more quarterbacks: Daniel Jones (over 0.5 at -131, threw one), Drake Maye (over 0.5 at -115, threw three), Matthew Stafford (over 0.5 at -103, threw one) and Michael Penix Jr. (over 0.5 at -108, threw one). A 6-0 week for +5.35 units.
NBA: props that mostly held, two that didn't
The board went 11-6 for +4.94 units. The two ugliest ones came within three days of each other. Karl-Anthony Towns was called under 33.5 points + rebounds at -109 and went for 42 PR. Reed Sheppard was called over 10.5 points + assists at -108 and managed just 6 PA.
Elsewhere the threes-made unders mostly cashed — Desmond Bane under 3.5 threes made at +135 (he hit exactly 3), Christian Braun under 1.5 at +105 (zero threes) — while Aaron Wiggins' under 2.5 threes made at +136 missed by one. Alex Sarr (over 16.5 points + rebounds, -108, 20 PR) and Julian Champagnie (over 5.5 rebounds + assists, +116, 7 RA) were clean wins on the other side of the ball.
NHL: the goalie board ground out a profit
Fourteen wins, ten losses, +2.03 units. Almost every play was a goalie saves total, and the week had some near-misses that stung. Dustin Wolf lost twice: under 25.5 saves at -115 on 2 November (26 saves) and over 24.5 saves at -105 on 6 November (24 saves on the nose).
Sergei Bobrovsky went both ways too — under 28.5 saves at -110 lost on 3 November when he faced 33, then over 23.5 saves at -132 won on 7 November with 24. Colten Ellis split a similar pair: over 22.5 saves at -130 won on 4 November (28 saves), then the same line at -106 lost on 8 November when he stopped exactly 22. John Gibson's under 26.5 saves at -110 was the week's most comfortable win, cashing on just 11 saves faced.
Every posted play this week
31 of 47 landed, 31 of 47 on player props. Each is graded at the line and price we posted it at, against the real result.
| Date | Who | Call | Price | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 | Caleb Williams (NFL) | under 0.5 interceptions | -120 | 0 | Hit |
| 11-02 | Daniil Tarasov (NHL) | under 25.5 saves | -120 | 23 | Hit |
| 11-02 | Dustin Wolf (NHL) | under 25.5 saves | -115 | 26 | Miss |
| 11-02 | Mackenzie Blackwood (NHL) | under 21.5 saves | -125 | 21 | Hit |
| 11-02 | Sam Darnold (NFL) | over 0.5 interceptions | -101 | 1 | Hit |
| 11-03 | Adin Hill (NHL) | under 24.5 saves | -118 | 23 | Hit |
| 11-03 | Dan Vladar (NHL) | under 27.5 saves | -135 | 18 | Hit |
| 11-03 | John Gibson (NHL) | under 26.5 saves | -110 | 11 | Hit |
| 11-03 | Scott Wedgewood (NHL) | under 25.5 saves | -110 | 5 | Hit |
| 11-03 | Sergei Bobrovsky (NHL) | under 28.5 saves | -110 | 33 | Miss |
| 11-03 | Tristan Jarry (NHL) | under 27.5 saves | -125 | 31 | Miss |
| 11-04 | Aaron Wiggins (NBA) | under 2.5 threes made | +136 | 3 | Miss |
| 11-04 | Alex Sarr (NBA) | over 16.5 points + rebounds | -108 | 20 | Hit |
| 11-04 | Bilal Coulibaly (NBA) | over 8.5 points + assists | -132 | 8 | Miss |
| 11-04 | Colten Ellis (NHL) | over 22.5 saves | -130 | 28 | Hit |
| 11-04 | Giannis Antetokounmpo (NBA) | under 29.5 points | -115 | 27 | Hit |
| 11-04 | Julian Champagnie (NBA) | over 5.5 rebounds + assists | +116 | 7 | Hit |
| 11-04 | Samuel Ersson (NHL) | under 23.5 saves | +100 | 23 | Hit |
| 11-04 | Yaroslav Askarov (NHL) | under 27.5 saves | -110 | 20 | Hit |
| 11-05 | Andrei Vasilevskiy (NHL) | over 18.5 saves | -110 | 25 | Hit |
| 11-05 | Desmond Bane (NBA) | under 3.5 threes made | +135 | 3 | Hit |
| 11-05 | Franz Wagner (NBA) | under 36.5 points + rebounds + assists | -109 | 38 | Miss |
| 11-05 | Jordan Binnington (NHL) | under 27.5 saves | -110 | 31 | Miss |
| 11-05 | Sebastian Cossa (NHL) | under 23.5 saves | -115 | 30 | Miss |
| 11-06 | Brice Sensabaugh (NBA) | over 1.5 threes made | +158 | 0 | Miss |
| 11-06 | Dustin Wolf (NHL) | over 24.5 saves | -105 | 24 | Miss |
| 11-06 | Jesper Wallstedt (NHL) | over 22.5 saves | +100 | 23 | Hit |
| 11-06 | Jet Greaves (NHL) | under 25.5 saves | -114 | 32 | Miss |
| 11-06 | Malik Monk (NBA) | under 19.5 points + rebounds + assists | -120 | 19 | Hit |
| 11-06 | Onyeka Okongwu (NBA) | under 12.5 rebounds + assists | +105 | 11 | Hit |
| 11-06 | Ryan Kalkbrenner (NBA) | under 14.5 points + rebounds | -105 | 9 | Hit |
| 11-07 | Akira Schmid (NHL) | under 23.5 saves | -112 | 27 | Miss |
| 11-07 | Cameron Johnson (NBA) | under 6.5 rebounds + assists | +100 | 5 | Hit |
| 11-07 | Christian Braun (NBA) | under 1.5 threes made | +105 | 0 | Hit |
| 11-07 | Karl-Anthony Towns (NBA) | under 33.5 points + rebounds | -109 | 42 | Miss |
| 11-07 | Pyotr Kochetkov (NHL) | under 19.5 saves | -114 | 18 | Hit |
| 11-07 | Reed Sheppard (NBA) | over 10.5 points + assists | -108 | 6 | Miss |
| 11-07 | Scoot Henderson (NBA) | under 6.5 rebounds + assists | +104 | 3 | Hit |
| 11-07 | Sergei Bobrovsky (NHL) | over 23.5 saves | -132 | 24 | Hit |
| 11-08 | Andrei Vasilevskiy (NHL) | under 23.5 saves | -130 | 21 | Hit |
| 11-08 | Colten Ellis (NHL) | over 22.5 saves | -106 | 22 | Miss |
| 11-08 | Daniel Jones (NFL) | over 0.5 interceptions | -131 | 1 | Hit |
| 11-08 | Drake Maye (NFL) | over 0.5 interceptions | -115 | 3 | Hit |
| 11-08 | Jacob Markstrom (NHL) | under 22.5 saves | -102 | 32 | Miss |
| 11-08 | Matthew Stafford (NFL) | over 0.5 interceptions | -103 | 1 | Hit |
| 11-08 | Michael Penix Jr. (NFL) | over 0.5 interceptions | -108 | 1 | Hit |
| 11-08 | Ryan Rollins (NBA) | over 5.5 rebounds + assists | -142 | 11 | Hit |
Every number above comes from the same graded ledger the boards publish — roll any board back to that week and you'll find the same calls. Research signals from a statistical model, not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER). Method: how MatchWiz works.