Premier League Team Props
Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.
Monday, August 24
FUL v CHE
FT · 2–3
Goal count · Over 2.553%-112fair-114mkt-0.6%
1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+180fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half21%+367fair—mkt—
FUL to score in both halves31%+224fair—mkt—
CHE to score in both halves19%+433fair—mkt—
Friday, August 28
CRY v MNC
3:00 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.552%-107fair-132mkt-5.3%
1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+185fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half22%+364fair—mkt—
CRY to score in both halves23%+338fair—mkt—
MNC to score in both halves26%+289fair—mkt—
Saturday, August 29
LIV v NFO
7:30 AM ET
Goal count · Over 2.562%-160fair-143mkt+2.6%
1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+140fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half22%+355fair—mkt—
LIV to score in both halves45%+122fair—mkt—
NFO to score in both halves13%+645fair—mkt—
BOU v EVE
10:00 AM ET
Goal count · Over 2.550%-100fair-106mkt-1.4%
1st-half goals · Over 1.534%+195fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half20%+395fair—mkt—
BOU to score in both halves29%+241fair—mkt—
EVE to score in both halves18%+468fair—mkt—
COV v HUL
10:00 AM ET
Goal count · Over 2.542%+140fair-114mkt-11.5%
1st-half goals · Over 1.529%+250fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half17%+480fair—mkt—
COV to score in both halves19%+428fair—mkt—
HUL to score in both halves20%+401fair—mkt—
TOT v NEW
12:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.553%-115fair-132mkt-3.5%
1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+176fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half22%+349fair—mkt—
TOT to score in both halves29%+249fair—mkt—
NEW to score in both halves22%+359fair—mkt—
Sunday, August 30
SUN v FUL
9:00 AM ET
Goal count · Over 2.555%-124fair+117mkt+9.1%
1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+167fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half21%+375fair—mkt—
SUN to score in both halves37%+169fair—mkt—
FUL to score in both halves15%+565fair—mkt—
LEE v BRE
9:00 AM ET
Goal count · Over 2.558%-140fair-102mkt+7.8%
1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+153fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half24%+318fair—mkt—
LEE to score in both halves35%+187fair—mkt—
BRE to score in both halves21%+384fair—mkt—
CHE v BHA
9:00 AM ET
Goal count · Over 2.561%-158fair-121mkt+6.3%
1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+140fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half26%+289fair—mkt—
CHE to score in both halves35%+183fair—mkt—
BHA to score in both halves23%+327fair—mkt—
MAN v IPS
11:30 AM ET
Goal count · Over 2.569%-221fair-143mkt+10.0%
1st-half goals · Over 1.547%+111fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half28%+254fair—mkt—
MAN to score in both halves46%+118fair—mkt—
IPS to score in both halves22%+361fair—mkt—
Monday, August 31
AVL v ARS
3:00 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.552%-110fair-112mkt-0.4%
1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+181fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half22%+355fair—mkt—
AVL to score in both halves25%+295fair—mkt—
ARS to score in both halves24%+316fair—mkt—
Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).