La Liga Team Props
Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.
Monday, August 24
MCF v DEP
FT · 1–1
Goal count · Over 2.539%+156fair+136mkt-3.3%
1st-half goals · Over 1.527%+271fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half16%+522fair—mkt—
MCF to score in both halves20%+390fair—mkt—
DEP to score in both halves16%+519fair—mkt—
Tuesday, August 25
VAL v BET
3:00 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.537%+171fair+108mkt-11.2%
1st-half goals · Over 1.526%+290fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half15%+555fair—mkt—
VAL to score in both halves16%+513fair—mkt—
BET to score in both halves18%+447fair—mkt—
Wednesday, August 26
RMA v RSO
3:00 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.552%-110fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+182fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half19%+436fair—mkt—
RMA to score in both halves38%+164fair—mkt—
RSO to score in both halves12%+761fair—mkt—
Thursday, August 27
CEL v OSA
2:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.532%+209fair+121mkt-12.8%
1st-half goals · Over 1.523%+339fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half13%+683fair—mkt—
CEL to score in both halves21%+381fair—mkt—
OSA to score in both halves10%+893fair—mkt—
BAR v ATH
3:00 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.572%-262fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.550%-100fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half22%+351fair—mkt—
BAR to score in both halves59%-145fair—mkt—
ATH to score in both halves10%+864fair—mkt—
Friday, August 28
RAC v ELC
1:00 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.546%+119fair-108mkt-6.1%
1st-half goals · Over 1.531%+221fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half18%+443fair—mkt—
RAC to score in both halves27%+276fair—mkt—
ELC to score in both halves16%+518fair—mkt—
ALA v VIL
3:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.553%-113fair-112mkt+0.1%
1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+178fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half22%+350fair—mkt—
ALA to score in both halves26%+284fair—mkt—
VIL to score in both halves24%+319fair—mkt—
Saturday, August 29
LEV v BET
11:00 AM ET
Goal count · Over 2.544%+127fair+102mkt-5.4%
1st-half goals · Over 1.530%+233fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half17%+495fair—mkt—
LEV to score in both halves12%+709fair—mkt—
BET to score in both halves29%+244fair—mkt—
RSO v ESP
1:00 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.541%+144fair-108mkt-11.0%
1st-half goals · Over 1.528%+256fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half17%+491fair—mkt—
RSO to score in both halves19%+425fair—mkt—
ESP to score in both halves19%+423fair—mkt—
SEV v ATM
3:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.558%-138fair+106mkt+9.4%
1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+154fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half25%+306fair—mkt—
SEV to score in both halves28%+259fair—mkt—
ATM to score in both halves27%+266fair—mkt—
Sunday, August 30
RMA v MCF
11:00 AM ET
Goal count · Over 2.552%-107fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+187fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half17%+490fair—mkt—
RMA to score in both halves40%+151fair—mkt—
MCF to score in both halves9%+993fair—mkt—
DEP v VAL
1:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.538%+163fair+143mkt-3.1%
1st-half goals · Over 1.526%+280fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half16%+537fair—mkt—
DEP to score in both halves19%+430fair—mkt—
VAL to score in both halves17%+499fair—mkt—
CEL v ATH
3:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.541%+142fair+121mkt-3.8%
1st-half goals · Over 1.528%+253fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half15%+547fair—mkt—
CEL to score in both halves28%+253fair—mkt—
ATH to score in both halves11%+829fair—mkt—
Monday, August 31
OSA v GET
1:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.528%+251fair+163mkt-9.5%
1st-half goals · Over 1.520%+390fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half11%+803fair—mkt—
OSA to score in both halves20%+407fair—mkt—
GET to score in both halves8%+1150fair—mkt—
BAR v RAY
3:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.568%-212fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.546%+115fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half21%+368fair—mkt—
BAR to score in both halves54%-119fair—mkt—
RAY to score in both halves11%+849fair—mkt—
Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).