MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

MLS 1+ Goals Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ goals number — chance each player scores, from per-game xG rates and the matchup's goal environment — priced at 1+, 2+ and 3+ goals. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Props are priced by a brand-new model with no public track record — nothing here is a pick. Where the books quote one-sided, "books" includes their margin and edges read conservative. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1NYC
    Nicolás Fernández
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    29%
    Books -109
    -23.5%MatchWiz +249
    ✓ 1
  2. 2TOR
    Josh Sargent
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +317
    ✗ 0
  3. 3TOR
    Ola Brynhildsen
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +369
    DNP
  4. 4NYC
    Agustín Ojeda
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    17%
    Books +270
    -12.7%MatchWiz +482
    ✗ 0
  5. 5TOR
    Dániel Sallói
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +488
    ✗ 0
  6. 6NYC
    Malachi Jones
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    17%
    Books +240
    -13.8%MatchWiz +504
    ✗ 0
  7. 7TOR
    Deandre Kerr
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    14%
    Books +450
    -6.5%MatchWiz +620
    ✗ 0
  8. 8NYC
    Maxi Moralez
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +633
    DNP
  9. 9TOR
    José Cifuentes
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +642
    DNP
  10. 10TOR
    Theo Corbeanu
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    13%
    Books +550
    -5.6%MatchWiz +681
    ✗ 0
  11. 11TOR
    Djordje Mihailovic
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    11%
    Books +400
    -10.0%MatchWiz +781
    ✓ 1
  12. 12TOR
    Derrick Etienne Jr.
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    9%
    Books +500
    -9.6%MatchWiz +1000
    ✗ 0
  13. 13TOR
    Emilio Aristizábal
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1001
    DNP
  14. 14NYC
    Hannes Wolf
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    9%
    Books +210
    -25.8%MatchWiz +1006
    ✗ 0
  15. 15NYC
    Andrés Perea
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    8%
    Books +550
    -10.7%MatchWiz +1083
    ✗ 0
  16. 16NYC
    Talles Magno
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    8%
    Books +195
    -27.5%MatchWiz +1129
    ✗ 0
  17. 17NYC
    Keaton Parks
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    7%
    Books +320
    -16.6%MatchWiz +1282
    DNP
  18. 18TOR
    Jonathan Osorio
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    7%
    Books +1200
    -4.3%MatchWiz +1341
    ✗ 0
  19. 19TOR
    Lorenzo Insigne
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1530
    DNP
  20. 20TOR
    Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    6%
    Books +450
    -12.6%MatchWiz +1699
    DNP
  21. 21NYC
    Kevin O'Toole
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    5%
    Books +800
    -6.3%MatchWiz +1970
    DNP
  22. 22NYC
    Jonathan Shore
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    5%
    Books +850
    -6.5%MatchWiz +1990
    ✗ 0
  23. 23TOR
    Deybi Flores
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2032
    DNP
  24. 24TOR
    Jackson Gilman
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2178
    ✗ 0
  25. 25TOR
    Richie Laryea
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    4%
    Books +1300
    -3.5%MatchWiz +2188
    ✗ 0
  26. 26NYC
    Kai Trewin
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2214
    DNP
  27. 27NYC
    Aiden O'Neill
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2277
    DNP
  28. 28TOR
    Kobe Franklin
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    4%
    Books +1800
    -1.8%MatchWiz +2307
    ✗ 0
  29. 29TOR
    Kevin Long
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2412
    DNP
  30. 30NYC
    Raul Gustavo
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2507
    DNP
  31. 31NYC
    Tayvon Gray
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    4%
    Books +2000
    -5.3%MatchWiz +2533
    ✗ 0
  32. 32NYC
    Mitja Ilenič
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    4%
    Books +1600
    -3.3%MatchWiz +2531
    ✗ 0
  33. 33TOR
    Walker Zimmerman
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    4%
    Books +2000
    -2.4%MatchWiz +2595
    ✗ 0
  34. 34TOR
    Benjamín Kuscevic
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2657
    DNP
  35. 35TOR
    Nicksoen Gomis
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    4%
    Books +2500
    -0.3%MatchWiz +2712
    DNP
  36. 36TOR
    Alonso Coello
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    3%
    Books +2200
    -2.6%MatchWiz +2834
    ✗ 0
  37. 37TOR
    Sigurd Rosted
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2903
    DNP
  38. 38NYC
    Nico Cavallo
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    3%
    Books +2000
    -2.1%MatchWiz +3313
    ✗ 0
  39. 39NYC
    Birk Risa
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3397
    DNP
  40. 40TOR
    Malik Henry
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3836
    ✗ 0
  41. 41TOR
    Raheem Edwards
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4324
    DNP
  42. 42NYC
    Thiago Martins
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    2%
    Books +2700
    -2.7%MatchWiz +4690
    ✗ 0
  43. 43TOR
    Lazar Stefanovic
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    2%
    Books +1525
    -4.4%MatchWiz +5720
    DNP
  44. 44TOR
    Zane Monlouis
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    1%
    Books +3500
    -1.8%MatchWiz +8322
    DNP
  45. 45NYC
    Andrew Baiera
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9061
    DNP
  46. 46NYC
    Maximo Carrizo
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    1%
    Books +380
    -19.8%MatchWiz +9291
    ✗ 0
  47. 47TOR
    Luka Gavran
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9777
    ✗ 0
  48. 48NYC
    Matt Freese
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0
  49. 49NYC
    Tomás Romero
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game xG rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).