MLS Team Props
Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
Saturday, August 29
SEA v CHI
4:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.559%-143fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+150fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half25%+299fair—mkt—
SEA to score in both halves30%+238fair—mkt—
CHI to score in both halves27%+276fair—mkt—
RBNY v PHI
7:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.567%-203fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.546%+117fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half30%+238fair—mkt—
RBNY to score in both halves32%+209fair—mkt—
PHI to score in both halves34%+198fair—mkt—
TOR v NYC
7:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.552%-107fair-140mkt-6.6%
1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+185fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half22%+363fair—mkt—
TOR to score in both halves25%+296fair—mkt—
NYC to score in both halves23%+328fair—mkt—
ATL v CLT
7:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.562%-161fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+138fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half26%+278fair—mkt—
ATL to score in both halves32%+214fair—mkt—
CLT to score in both halves28%+263fair—mkt—
CLB v NE
7:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.554%-117fair-143mkt-4.9%
1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+173fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half22%+347fair—mkt—
CLB to score in both halves30%+237fair—mkt—
NE to score in both halves21%+370fair—mkt—
DC v LAFC
7:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.560%-149fair-128mkt+3.8%
1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+145fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half26%+291fair—mkt—
DC to score in both halves27%+267fair—mkt—
LAFC to score in both halves30%+232fair—mkt—
MIA v MTL
7:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.575%-293fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.552%-110fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half32%+213fair—mkt—
MIA to score in both halves50%+101fair—mkt—
MTL to score in both halves25%+295fair—mkt—
MIN v ORL
8:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.567%-207fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.546%+116fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half29%+250fair—mkt—
MIN to score in both halves41%+141fair—mkt—
ORL to score in both halves25%+307fair—mkt—
NSH v CIN
8:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.565%-182fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+126fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half27%+267fair—mkt—
NSH to score in both halves39%+158fair—mkt—
CIN to score in both halves24%+319fair—mkt—
HOU v SJ
8:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.557%-132fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+159fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half24%+322fair—mkt—
HOU to score in both halves32%+211fair—mkt—
SJ to score in both halves22%+357fair—mkt—
SKC v VAN
8:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.564%-180fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+128fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half25%+306fair—mkt—
SKC to score in both halves17%+491fair—mkt—
VAN to score in both halves45%+123fair—mkt—
COL v RSL
9:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.559%-141fair-151mkt-1.5%
1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+151fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half24%+321fair—mkt—
COL to score in both halves36%+176fair—mkt—
RSL to score in both halves20%+412fair—mkt—
POR v ATX
10:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.565%-184fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+126fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half26%+281fair—mkt—
POR to score in both halves42%+137fair—mkt—
ATX to score in both halves20%+390fair—mkt—
SD v LA
10:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.565%-188fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+124fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half27%+265fair—mkt—
SD to score in both halves40%+150fair—mkt—
LA to score in both halves23%+327fair—mkt—
Sunday, August 30
STL v DAL
7:00 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.560%-153fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+143fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half26%+289fair—mkt—
STL to score in both halves33%+205fair—mkt—
DAL to score in both halves25%+297fair—mkt—
Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).