MatchWiz

MLS 1+ Shots on Target Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots on target number — the sharper volume signal — hitting the target travels better than raw attempts. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Props are priced by a brand-new model with no public track record — nothing here is a pick. Where the books quote one-sided, "books" includes their margin and edges read conservative. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1NYC
    Nicolás Fernández
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    70%
    Books -590
    -15.3%MatchWiz -235
    1
  2. 2TOR
    Josh Sargent
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -104
    0
  3. 3TOR
    Dániel Sallói
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -100
    4
  4. 4NYC
    Agustín Ojeda
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    50%
    Books -167
    -15.0%MatchWiz +101
    0
  5. 5NYC
    Malachi Jones
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +128
    0
  6. 6TOR
    Ola Brynhildsen
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +131
    DNP
  7. 7TOR
    José Cifuentes
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +179
    DNP
  8. 8TOR
    Djordje Mihailovic
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    36%
    Books +120
    -17.5%MatchWiz +181
    1
  9. 9TOR
    Theo Corbeanu
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    32%
    Books +125
    -22.7%MatchWiz +210
    0
  10. 10NYC
    Maxi Moralez
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +214
    DNP
  11. 11TOR
    Derrick Etienne Jr.
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    31%
    Books +132
    -20.4%MatchWiz +222
    0
  12. 12NYC
    Andrés Perea
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    31%
    Books -125
    -25.6%MatchWiz +225
    2
  13. 13TOR
    Deandre Kerr
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    29%
    Books +118
    -28.5%MatchWiz +247
    0
  14. 14TOR
    Emilio Aristizábal
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +251
    DNP
  15. 15NYC
    Hannes Wolf
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    26%
    Books -200
    -43.5%MatchWiz +285
    0
  16. 16NYC
    Talles Magno
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    23%
    Books -186
    -47.0%MatchWiz +328
    2
  17. 17TOR
    Kobe Franklin
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    21%
    Books +600
    +6.3%MatchWiz +366
    0
  18. 18TOR
    Lorenzo Insigne
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +378
    DNP
  19. 19TOR
    Jonathan Osorio
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    21%
    Books +185
    -15.7%MatchWiz +384
    0
  20. 20NYC
    Kai Trewin
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +402
    DNP
  21. 21NYC
    Kevin O'Toole
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    19%
    Books +340
    -3.4%MatchWiz +416
    DNP
  22. 22TOR
    Jackson Gilman
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +442
    0
  23. 23NYC
    Keaton Parks
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    17%
    Books +117
    -29.0%MatchWiz +485
    DNP
  24. 24TOR
    Deybi Flores
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +488
    DNP
  25. 25NYC
    Tayvon Gray
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    16%
    Books +350
    -10.4%MatchWiz +531
    0
  26. 26NYC
    Aiden O'Neill
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +561
    DNP
  27. 27TOR
    Alonso Coello
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    14%
    Books +480
    -5.2%MatchWiz +601
    0
  28. 28NYC
    Jonathan Shore
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    14%
    Books +330
    -21.9%MatchWiz +610
    0
  29. 29TOR
    Richie Laryea
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    13%
    Books +360
    -8.8%MatchWiz +659
    0
  30. 30NYC
    Raul Gustavo
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +679
    DNP
  31. 31TOR
    Benjamín Kuscevic
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +692
    DNP
  32. 32NYC
    Mitja Ilenič
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    13%
    Books +105
    -36.3%MatchWiz +698
    0
  33. 33TOR
    Raheem Edwards
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +790
    DNP
  34. 34TOR
    Nicksoen Gomis
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +811
    DNP
  35. 35TOR
    Walker Zimmerman
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    10%
    Books +550
    -7.2%MatchWiz +876
    0
  36. 36TOR
    Kevin Long
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +923
    DNP
  37. 37TOR
    Sigurd Rosted
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +942
    DNP
  38. 38NYC
    Nico Cavallo
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    10%
    Books +370
    -11.7%MatchWiz +948
    0
  39. 39TOR
    Zane Monlouis
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    8%
    Books +290
    -17.6%MatchWiz +1143
    DNP
  40. 40NYC
    Birk Risa
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1149
    DNP
  41. 41TOR
    Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1412
    DNP
  42. 42TOR
    Malik Henry
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1968
    0
  43. 43NYC
    Thiago Martins
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    4%
    Books +320
    -23.6%MatchWiz +2464
    0
  44. 44NYC
    Andrew Baiera
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2606
    DNP
  45. 45NYC
    Maximo Carrizo
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    3%
    Books -110
    -48.9%MatchWiz +2772
    0
  46. 46TOR
    Lazar Stefanovic
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2985
    DNP
  47. 47TOR
    Luka Gavran
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3234
    0
  48. 48NYC
    Tomás Romero
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  49. 49NYC
    Matt Freese
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game xG rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).