MatchWiz

MLS 1+ Shots on Target Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots on target number — the sharper volume signal — hitting the target travels better than raw attempts. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Props are priced by a brand-new model with no public track record — nothing here is a pick. Where the books quote one-sided, "books" includes their margin and edges read conservative. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1HOU
    Mateusz Bogusz
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    67%
    Books -165
    +2.9%MatchWiz -207
    2
  2. 2HOU
    Guilherme
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    62%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -161
    3
  3. 3NE
    Dor Turgeman
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    51%
    Books -175
    -16.4%MatchWiz -103
    0
  4. 4NE
    Carles Gil
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    50%
    Books -182
    -14.6%MatchWiz +100
    0
  5. 5NE
    Peyton Miller
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    50%
    Books +140
    -0.9%MatchWiz +102
    2
  6. 6NE
    Leonardo Campana
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    44%
    Books -177
    -19.9%MatchWiz +127
    DNP
  7. 7HOU
    Jack McGlynn
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    36%
    Books -107
    -21.3%MatchWiz +180
    0
  8. 8HOU
    Ezequiel Ponce
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    33%
    Books -225
    -36.1%MatchWiz +202
    0
  9. 9HOU
    Daniel Steres
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +232
    DNP
  10. 10HOU
    Héctor Herrera
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    28%
    Books +300
    -10.5%MatchWiz +263
    1
  11. 11NE
    Alhassan Yusuf
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    27%
    Books +270
    -0.4%MatchWiz +275
    0
  12. 12HOU
    Artur
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +276
    0
  13. 13HOU
    Agustín Bouzat
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    26%
    Books +360
    -7.2%MatchWiz +279
    0
  14. 14NE
    Luca Langoni
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    25%
    Books +115
    -30.9%MatchWiz +308
    DNP
  15. 15HOU
    Júnior Urso
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +383
    DNP
  16. 16HOU
    Lawrence Ennali
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    20%
    Books +115
    -26.4%MatchWiz +398
    0
  17. 17
    Duncan McGuire
    v
    Sat 4:30 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +399
    0
  18. 18NE
    Maxi Urruti
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +423
    DNP
  19. 19HOU
    Franco Escobar
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +491
    DNP
  20. 20NE
    Marcos Zambrano-Delgado
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +492
    0
  21. 21NE
    Wilson Harris
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +495
    0
  22. 22NE
    Ilay Feingold
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +523
    DNP
  23. 23NE
    Will Sands
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    16%
    Books +410
    -8.0%MatchWiz +538
    0
  24. 24NE
    Allan Oyirwoth
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +549
    DNP
  25. 25HOU
    Amine Bassi
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +581
    DNP
  26. 26NE
    Brooklyn Raines
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    14%
    Books +500
    -8.7%MatchWiz +616
    0
  27. 27NE
    Griffin Yow
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    13%
    Books -125
    -43.7%MatchWiz +658
    0
  28. 28NE
    Diego Fagundez
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +658
    0
  29. 29HOU
    Felipe Andrade
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +695
    0
  30. 30HOU
    Duane Holmes
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +750
    DNP
  31. 31NE
    Luis Díaz
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +783
    DNP
  32. 32NE
    Brayan Ceballos
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +800
    DNP
  33. 33NE
    Malcolm Fry
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +828
    DNP
  34. 34NE
    Matt Polster
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    10%
    Books +450
    -13.8%MatchWiz +855
    0
  35. 35NE
    Keegan Hughes
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +941
    DNP
  36. 36HOU
    Nicolás Lodeiro
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +968
    DNP
  37. 37HOU
    Sam Vines
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1021
    DNP
  38. 38HOU
    Franco Negri
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    9%
    Books +410
    -16.3%MatchWiz +1057
    DNP
  39. 39NE
    Ethan Kohler
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1117
    0
  40. 40HOU
    Antônio Carlos
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    8%
    Books +400
    -11.8%MatchWiz +1119
    DNP
  41. 41HOU
    Erik Sviatchenko
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    8%
    Books +310
    -20.4%MatchWiz +1158
    DNP
  42. 42NE
    Jackson Yueill
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1393
    DNP
  43. 43NE
    Mamadou Fofana
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    6%
    Books +440
    -14.0%MatchWiz +1465
    0
  44. 44HOU
    Lucas Halter
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    6%
    Books +410
    -22.7%MatchWiz +1573
    0
  45. 45HOU
    Agustín Resch
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2189
    1
  46. 46NE
    Wyatt Omsberg
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2263
    DNP
  47. 47HOU
    Diadie Samassékou
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2594
    0
  48. 48NE
    Cody Baker
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3486
    0
  49. 49HOU
    Blake Gillingham
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  50. 50NE
    Aljaž Ivačič
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  51. 51HOU
    Jimmy Maurer
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  52. 52HOU
    Jonathan Bond
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0
  53. 53NE
    Matt Turner
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game xG rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).