MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

MLS 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Props are priced by a brand-new model with no public track record — nothing here is a pick. Where the books quote one-sided, "books" includes their margin and edges read conservative. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1NYC
    Nicolás Fernández
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    89%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -838
    ✓ 2
  2. 2TOR
    Dániel Sallói
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    82%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -456
    ✓ 5
  3. 3TOR
    Josh Sargent
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    81%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -425
    ✓ 1
  4. 4TOR
    Ola Brynhildsen
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    77%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -337
    DNP
  5. 5NYC
    Agustín Ojeda
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    77%
    Books -1100
    -14.6%MatchWiz -336
    ✓ 1
  6. 6TOR
    José Cifuentes
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    74%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -285
    DNP
  7. 7NYC
    Malachi Jones
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    73%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -270
    ✗ 0
  8. 8NYC
    Maxi Moralez
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    65%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -186
    DNP
  9. 9TOR
    Deandre Kerr
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    64%
    Books -2000
    -30.9%MatchWiz -181
    ✗ 0
  10. 10TOR
    Theo Corbeanu
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    64%
    Books -1100
    -27.7%MatchWiz -178
    ✓ 1
  11. 11NYC
    Andrés Perea
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    62%
    Books -750
    -25.8%MatchWiz -166
    ✓ 3
  12. 12TOR
    Djordje Mihailovic
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    62%
    Books -1500
    -31.9%MatchWiz -162
    ✓ 1
  13. 13TOR
    Emilio Aristizábal
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -138
    DNP
  14. 14NYC
    Hannes Wolf
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    55%
    Books -2000
    -40.6%MatchWiz -120
    ✓ 1
  15. 15TOR
    Lorenzo Insigne
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -115
    DNP
  16. 16TOR
    Derrick Etienne Jr.
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    52%
    Books -650
    -35.2%MatchWiz -106
    ✗ 0
  17. 17NYC
    Talles Magno
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    50%
    Books -2000
    -45.5%MatchWiz +101
    ✓ 4
  18. 18TOR
    Jonathan Osorio
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    50%
    Books -150
    -10.3%MatchWiz +101
    ✓ 1
  19. 19NYC
    Aiden O'Neill
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +112
    DNP
  20. 20NYC
    Kai Trewin
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +112
    DNP
  21. 21TOR
    Deybi Flores
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +116
    DNP
  22. 22TOR
    Jackson Gilman
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    45%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +124
    ✓ 1
  23. 23TOR
    Alonso Coello
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    44%
    Books -110
    -8.8%MatchWiz +130
    ✓ 1
  24. 24NYC
    Keaton Parks
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +131
    DNP
  25. 25NYC
    Tayvon Gray
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    43%
    Books -130
    -13.7%MatchWiz +133
    ✗ 0
  26. 26TOR
    Benjamín Kuscevic
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +138
    DNP
  27. 27TOR
    Kobe Franklin
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    42%
    Books +145
    +0.8%MatchWiz +140
    ✗ 0
  28. 28TOR
    Walker Zimmerman
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    41%
    Books -250
    -30.4%MatchWiz +144
    ✗ 0
  29. 29NYC
    Raul Gustavo
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +159
    DNP
  30. 30NYC
    Kevin O'Toole
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +163
    DNP
  31. 31TOR
    Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +173
    DNP
  32. 32TOR
    Nicksoen Gomis
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +174
    DNP
  33. 33TOR
    Kevin Long
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +193
    DNP
  34. 34TOR
    Richie Laryea
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    33%
    Books +105
    -15.4%MatchWiz +200
    ✓ 2
  35. 35NYC
    Jonathan Shore
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    33%
    Books -390
    -46.6%MatchWiz +203
    ✓ 2
  36. 36TOR
    Sigurd Rosted
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +236
    DNP
  37. 37TOR
    Raheem Edwards
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +244
    DNP
  38. 38NYC
    Nico Cavallo
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    29%
    Books +100
    -21.1%MatchWiz +246
    ✗ 0
  39. 39NYC
    Mitja Ilenič
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    28%
    Books -220
    -40.3%MatchWiz +251
    ✓ 1
  40. 40NYC
    Birk Risa
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +301
    DNP
  41. 41TOR
    Malik Henry
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +427
    ✗ 0
  42. 42NYC
    Thiago Martins
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    19%
    Books -105
    -32.6%MatchWiz +436
    ✗ 0
  43. 43TOR
    Zane Monlouis
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    18%
    Books -105
    -33.1%MatchWiz +453
    DNP
  44. 44TOR
    Lazar Stefanovic
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +533
    DNP
  45. 45NYC
    Maximo Carrizo
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    12%
    Books -425
    -68.6%MatchWiz +708
    ✗ 0
  46. 46NYC
    Andrew Baiera
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +765
    DNP
  47. 47TOR
    Luka Gavran
    TOR1–1NYC
    Fri 7:30 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1431
    ✗ 0
  48. 48NYC
    Matt Freese
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3154
    ✗ 0
  49. 49NYC
    Tomás Romero
    NYC1–1TOR
    Fri 7:30 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game xG rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).