MatchWiz

MLS 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Props are priced by a brand-new model with no public track record — nothing here is a pick. Where the books quote one-sided, "books" includes their margin and edges read conservative. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1HOU
    Mateusz Bogusz
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    93%
    Books -2000
    -2.7%MatchWiz -1239
    2
  2. 2HOU
    Guilherme
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    88%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -746
    5
  3. 3NE
    Peyton Miller
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    84%
    Books -1250
    -8.4%MatchWiz -532
    2
  4. 4NE
    Dor Turgeman
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    82%
    Books -2000
    -12.8%MatchWiz -469
    2
  5. 5NE
    Leonardo Campana
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    78%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -345
    DNP
  6. 6NE
    Carles Gil
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    77%
    Books -1500
    -16.8%MatchWiz -333
    2
  7. 7HOU
    Ezequiel Ponce
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    75%
    Books -2000
    -20.3%MatchWiz -299
    2
  8. 8HOU
    Jack McGlynn
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    67%
    Books -1250
    -25.7%MatchWiz -202
    0
  9. 9HOU
    Agustín Bouzat
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    61%
    Books -450
    -20.3%MatchWiz -160
    0
  10. 10NE
    Alhassan Yusuf
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    60%
    Books -900
    -29.6%MatchWiz -153
    0
  11. 11HOU
    Daniel Steres
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    60%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -149
    DNP
  12. 12HOU
    Héctor Herrera
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    58%
    Books -900
    -31.8%MatchWiz -140
    1
  13. 13NE
    Luca Langoni
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    52%
    Books -475
    -30.1%MatchWiz -111
    DNP
  14. 14HOU
    Júnior Urso
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -107
    DNP
  15. 15HOU
    Artur
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +100
    1
  16. 16HOU
    Franco Escobar
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +104
    DNP
  17. 17HOU
    Lawrence Ennali
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    49%
    Books -380
    -30.2%MatchWiz +104
    0
  18. 18HOU
    Felipe Andrade
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    48%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +110
    1
  19. 19NE
    Ilay Feingold
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +111
    DNP
  20. 20NE
    Will Sands
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    45%
    Books -115
    -8.2%MatchWiz +121
    0
  21. 21NE
    Marcos Zambrano-Delgado
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    45%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +124
    0
  22. 22HOU
    Franco Negri
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    43%
    Books -280
    -30.6%MatchWiz +132
    DNP
  23. 23NE
    Allan Oyirwoth
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +136
    DNP
  24. 24HOU
    Lucas Halter
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    42%
    Books -280
    -32.1%MatchWiz +141
    0
  25. 25NE
    Brooklyn Raines
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    41%
    Books +100
    -9.0%MatchWiz +144
    1
  26. 26NE
    Maxi Urruti
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +151
    DNP
  27. 27NE
    Wilson Harris
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +164
    0
  28. 28NE
    Matt Polster
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    38%
    Books +115
    -8.7%MatchWiz +164
    0
  29. 29
    Duncan McGuire
    v
    Sat 4:30 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +168
    0
  30. 30HOU
    Duane Holmes
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +173
    DNP
  31. 31HOU
    Amine Bassi
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +179
    DNP
  32. 32HOU
    Antônio Carlos
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +190
    DNP
  33. 33NE
    Keegan Hughes
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +213
    DNP
  34. 34NE
    Diego Fagundez
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +216
    0
  35. 35HOU
    Agustín Resch
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +243
    1
  36. 36NE
    Griffin Yow
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    28%
    Books -700
    -59.6%MatchWiz +258
    0
  37. 37NE
    Brayan Ceballos
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +260
    DNP
  38. 38HOU
    Nicolás Lodeiro
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +262
    DNP
  39. 39NE
    Luis Díaz
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +293
    DNP
  40. 40NE
    Malcolm Fry
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +300
    DNP
  41. 41NE
    Ethan Kohler
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +333
    0
  42. 42HOU
    Sam Vines
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +344
    DNP
  43. 43HOU
    Erik Sviatchenko
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    17%
    Books -360
    -60.9%MatchWiz +475
    DNP
  44. 44NE
    Jackson Yueill
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +513
    DNP
  45. 45NE
    Mamadou Fofana
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    15%
    Books +120
    -30.9%MatchWiz +586
    0
  46. 46NE
    Wyatt Omsberg
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +641
    DNP
  47. 47NE
    Cody Baker
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +872
    0
  48. 48HOU
    Diadie Samassékou
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +883
    0
  49. 49HOU
    Blake Gillingham
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  50. 50NE
    Aljaž Ivačič
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  51. 51HOU
    Jimmy Maurer
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  52. 52HOU
    Jonathan Bond
    HOU2–0NE
    Sat 4:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0
  53. 53NE
    Matt Turner
    NE0–2HOU
    Sat 4:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game xG rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).