Serie A Team Props
Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. Serie A team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.
Monday, August 24
ROMA v FIO
FT · 4–0
Goal count · Over 2.544%+126fair+108mkt-3.8%
1st-half goals · Over 1.530%+231fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half18%+464fair—mkt—
ROMA to score in both halves26%+281fair—mkt—
FIO to score in both halves15%+557fair—mkt—
Friday, August 28
MIL v VEN
2:45 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.550%+101fair-106mkt-1.8%
1st-half goals · Over 1.534%+198fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half17%+488fair—mkt—
MIL to score in both halves37%+169fair—mkt—
VEN to score in both halves10%+910fair—mkt—
Saturday, August 29
FIO v FRO
12:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.543%+132fair-106mkt-8.3%
1st-half goals · Over 1.530%+238fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half18%+460fair—mkt—
FIO to score in both halves21%+383fair—mkt—
FRO to score in both halves20%+410fair—mkt—
MON v UDI
12:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.554%-115fair+137mkt+11.4%
1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+175fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half23%+345fair—mkt—
MON to score in both halves25%+299fair—mkt—
UDI to score in both halves25%+293fair—mkt—
SAS v TOR
12:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.549%+104fair+112mkt+1.9%
1st-half goals · Over 1.533%+200fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half20%+401fair—mkt—
SAS to score in both halves28%+257fair—mkt—
TOR to score in both halves18%+456fair—mkt—
JUV v PAR
2:45 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.535%+183fair-134mkt-21.9%
1st-half goals · Over 1.525%+306fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half13%+650fair—mkt—
JUV to score in both halves24%+310fair—mkt—
PAR to score in both halves9%+971fair—mkt—
Sunday, August 30
NAP v COMO
12:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.535%+189fair+143mkt-6.5%
1st-half goals · Over 1.524%+314fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half14%+613fair—mkt—
NAP to score in both halves20%+398fair—mkt—
COMO to score in both halves13%+696fair—mkt—
CAG v INT
2:45 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.550%+102fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.534%+197fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half20%+399fair—mkt—
CAG to score in both halves18%+470fair—mkt—
INT to score in both halves29%+246fair—mkt—
LAZ v GEN
2:45 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.540%+147fair+143mkt-0.7%
1st-half goals · Over 1.528%+261fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half15%+548fair—mkt—
LAZ to score in both halves27%+274fair—mkt—
GEN to score in both halves11%+780fair—mkt—
Monday, August 31
LEC v ROMA
12:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.541%+145fair+128mkt-3.2%
1st-half goals · Over 1.528%+258fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half16%+545fair—mkt—
LEC to score in both halves11%+785fair—mkt—
ROMA to score in both halves27%+269fair—mkt—
ATA v BOL
2:45 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.540%+148fair-112mkt-12.6%
1st-half goals · Over 1.528%+261fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half17%+505fair—mkt—
ATA to score in both halves21%+370fair—mkt—
BOL to score in both halves16%+509fair—mkt—
Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).