Serie A Match Board
Every match priced by our goals-based goal model — the WizLine (win/draw/win probabilities and their fair odds) next to the books' vig-free consensus, plus total-goals and both-teams-to-score reads.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 47 of 50 on ML, 46 of 50 on Over 2.5, 47 of 50 on BTTS.
Saturday, October 10
GenoaHOME35%1.2proj+188fair+236mktModel lean+5.0%
FiorentinaAWAY35%1.2proj+183fair+141mkt-6.2%
InternazionaleHOME68%2.2proj-213fair-482mkt-14.8%
ParmaAWAY12%0.8proj+766fair+1589mktModel lean+5.6%
NapoliHOME37%1.2proj+171fair-190mkt-28.7%
FrosinoneAWAY32%1.1proj+210fair+587mktModel lean+17.7%Sunday, October 11
ComoHOME32%1.2proj+213fair+169mkt-5.3%
AS RomaAWAY39%1.4proj+153fair+176mkt+3.2%
LecceHOME27%0.9proj+277fair+351mktModel lean+4.3%
BolognaAWAY41%1.2proj+142fair+104mkt-7.7%
LazioHOME51%1.7proj-105fair-149mkt-8.6%
MonzaAWAY23%1.1proj+341fair+496mktModel lean+5.9%
SassuoloHOME28%1.2proj+254fair+348mktModel lean+5.9%
AC MilanAWAY44%1.5proj+128fair-110mkt-8.5%
CagliariHOME24%0.9proj+312fair+547mktModel lean+8.8%
JuventusAWAY44%1.3proj+126fair-155mkt-16.5%Monday, October 12
AtalantaHOME63%2.0proj-170fair-152mkt+2.7%
VeneziaAWAY14%0.9proj+594fair+481mkt-2.8%
TorinoHOME33%1.3proj+203fair+146mkt-7.6%
UdineseAWAY39%1.4proj+155fair+232mktModel lean+9.0%Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Serie A table
Updated daily from final results2026-2027 Italian Serie A
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Internazionale | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 | WWDDW |
| 6 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 | DWWWL |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WWLLL |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 | DWLLL |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | LLDLW |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | LLDLW |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 | LLLWD |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | LLDLD |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LLLDL |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 | LLLLL |