🛡 1u playWon +1.06u
+106
Live hit prob100%
- KKKingvs Rosas · Featherweight-168✓
- Over 2.5 RdsAldrich vs Tarin · Women's Flyweight-345✓
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado
Sat, September 12, 2026 — Desert Diamond Arena · Glendale · AZ · 📺 Paramount+. Model record on this card: 9-4. Tap a fight for the tale of the tape.
Card complete
13 of 13 fights finalEvery fight we priced, graded against the result — not a curated subset. A method call counts when the outcome we made most likely is the one that happened. Leans are only the spots where we disagreed with the book, which is the subset worth betting.
WizLays
This card3-2+2.31u
🛡 +10012-14-1.09u
⚡ +5001-7-1.23u
🔥 +10002-5+5.74u
The model's most-likely stacks for Noche UFC, across a range of payouts. Frozen when posted, graded after the card. The moonshot is just for fun. Not a tip.
🛡 1u playWon +0.95u
-105
Live hit prob100%
- Over 2.5 RdsFiorot vs Grasso · Women's Flyweight-425✓
McMillenvs Rahiki · Featherweight-172✓
🛡 1u playWon +1.30u
+130
Live hit prob100%
- Over 2.5 RdsElliott vs Cháirez · Catch Weight-120✓
Martinezvs Ige · Bantamweight-390✓
⚡ 0.5u playLost -0.50u
+578
Live hit prob0.0%
Delgadovs Silva · Featherweight+325✕- KKKingvs Rosas · Featherweight-168✓
🔥 0.5u playLost -0.50u
+1048
Live hit prob0.0%
Blaydesvs Acosta · Heavyweight+170✓- Delgadovs Silva · Featherweight+325✕
🌙 for funNot graded
+2662
Live hit prob0.0%
- Delgadovs Silva · Featherweight+325✕
Santosvs Belgaroui · Middleweight+550✕
Prices are frozen at the best book number when the slip posts, and each slip grades at that price. UFC grades out efficient in our model, so this is for fun, not an edge — stacking legs multiplies the book's vig. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Main Card
fight lengthwe said 55% over 2½ · went R3 2:15 ✗ under
how it endswe said KO/TKO 47% · was Submission ✗ we had it 15%
fight lengthwe said 56% under 2½ · went the distance ✗ over
how it endswe said Decision 39% · was Decision - Split ✓
fight lengthwe said 51% under 2½ · went the distance ✗ over
how it endswe said KO/TKO 48% · was Decision - Unanimous ✗ we had it 43%
fight lengthwe said 75% over 2½ · went the distance ✓ over
how it endswe said Decision 71% · was Decision - Unanimous ✓
fight lengthwe said 52% under 2½ · went the distance ✗ over
how it endswe said Decision 45% · was Decision - Unanimous ✓
fight lengthwe said 56% over 2½ · went the distance ✓ over
how it endswe said Decision 50% · was Decision - Unanimous ✓
Prelims
fight lengthwe said 55% over 2½ · went the distance ✓ over
how it endswe said Decision 52% · was Decision - Unanimous ✓
fight lengthwe said 52% over 2½ · went the distance ✓ over
how it endswe said Decision 48% · was Decision - Unanimous ✓
fight lengthwe said 62% over 2½ · went R1 0:47 ✗ under
how it endswe said Decision 57% · was KO/TKO ✗ we had it 32%
fight lengthwe said 51% over 2½ · went R3 2:31 ✓ over
how it endswe said Decision 48% · was Submission ✗ we had it 30%
fight lengthwe said 59% over 2½ · went the distance ✓ over
how it endswe said Decision 55% · was Decision - Unanimous ✓
fight lengthwe said 50% over 2½ · went R1 0:36 ✗ under
how it endswe said Decision 45% · was KO/TKO ✗ we had it 34%
fight lengthwe said 75% over 2½ · went the distance ✓ over
how it endswe said Decision 71% · was Decision - Unanimous ✓