UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till

Sat, July 25, 2020 — Flash Forum · Abu Dhabi · United Arab Emirates. Model record on this card: 9-5 (backtest). Tap a fight for the tale of the tape.

Card complete

15 of 15 fights final

Winner picks

9–564%

our >50% side

Round totals

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our side of over/under 2½

How it ends

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our most-likely method

Leans vs the book

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where we disagreed with the book

Every fight we priced, graded against the result — not a curated subset. A method call counts when the outcome we made most likely is the one that happened. Leans are only the spots where we disagreed with the book, which is the subset worth betting.

Sort

Main Card

Middleweight · 5 RDSbacktestDecision - Unanimous⚔ compare

Robert Whittaker28-9-0

our line+158 (39%)-158 (61%)bookno line posted yet

Darren Till18-5-1✗ our pick

Light HeavyweightbacktestDecision - Split⚔ compare

Mauricio Rua27-14-1✓ our pick

our line-219 (69%)+219 (31%)bookno line posted yet

Rogerio Nogueira23-10-0

HeavyweightbacktestSubmission · R1 2:30⚔ compare

Fabricio Werdum24-9-1

our line+169 (37%)-169 (63%)bookno line posted yet

Alexander Gustafsson18-8-0✗ our pick

Women's StrawweightbacktestDecision - Split⚔ compare

Carla Esparza20-8-0

our line+132 (43%)-132 (57%)bookno line posted yet

Marina Rodriguez17-6-2✗ our pick

Light HeavyweightbacktestSubmission · R1 2:06⚔ compare

Paul Craig17-10-1✓ our pick

our line-209 (68%)+209 (32%)bookno line posted yet

Gadzhimurad Antigulov20-9-0

WelterweightbacktestDecision - Unanimous⚔ compare

Alex Oliveira25-16-1✓ our pick

our line-209 (68%)+209 (32%)bookno line posted yet

Peter Sobotta17-7-1

WelterweightbacktestKO/TKO · R1 3:09⚔ compare

Khamzat Chimaev15-1-0✓ our pick

our line-203 (67%)+203 (33%)bookno line posted yet

Rhys McKee15-7-1

Prelims

LightweightbacktestKO/TKO · R3 1:30⚔ compare

Francisco Trinaldo28-9-0✓ our pick

our line-185 (65%)+185 (35%)bookno line posted yet

Jai Herbert14-6-1

WelterweightNo Contest · R1 2:48⚔ compare

Nicolas Dalby24-6-1

vs

Jesse Ronson23-12-0

HeavyweightbacktestKO/TKO · R1 0:45⚔ compare

Tom Aspinall15-3-0

our line+148 (40%)-148 (60%)bookno line posted yet

Jake Collier14-11-0✗ our pick

FeatherweightbacktestDecision - Unanimous⚔ compare

Movsar Evloev20-0-0✓ our pick

our line-188 (65%)+188 (35%)bookno line posted yet

Mike Grundy12-4-0

HeavyweightbacktestKO/TKO · R2 2:36⚔ compare

Tanner Boser22-11-1

our line+104 (49%)-104 (51%)bookno line posted yet

Raphael Pessoa10-4-0✗ our pick

Women's BantamweightbacktestDecision - Unanimous⚔ compare

Bethe Correia11-6-1

our line+125 (44%)-125 (56%)bookno line posted yet

Pannie Kianzad17-9-0✓ our pick

WelterweightbacktestDecision - Unanimous⚔ compare

Ramazan Emeev20-6-0✓ our pick

our line-209 (68%)+209 (32%)bookno line posted yet

Niklas Stolze14-7-0

BantamweightbacktestDecision - Unanimous⚔ compare

Nathaniel Wood23-6-0✓ our pick

our line-141 (58%)+141 (42%)bookno line posted yet

John Castaneda21-8-1

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