MatchWiz

Francisco TrinaldoMassaranduba

28-9-0 · MatchWiz rating 1641

Age48Height5'9"Reach70"StanceSouthpawDivisionLightweightCampConstrictor TeamCountryBrazil

Rating trend

1500201520162017201820192020202120221641

current 1641 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Francisco Trinaldo is 13-5 across 18 fights on our tape. Our rating has him at 1641 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

No single dominant tool

Francisco's rates don't point hard in any direction — 3.3 strikes landed a minute, 1 takedowns per 15, 63% takedown defense. That's the most common profile in the sport and the hardest to project, because the matchup rather than the fighter decides which skill ends up mattering.

Age matters more here than in most sports

Francisco is 48. MMA decline tends to arrive suddenly rather than gradually — durability goes before output does, so a fighter can look sharp on the stats right up until he doesn't. The model factors age in, and it's one of the places we'd trust the number least on any individual fight.

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Francisco and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result.

Francisco Trinaldo — FAQ

What is Francisco Trinaldo's record?

13-5 across 18 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1641 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Francisco Trinaldo?

He lands 3.3 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 2.8, with 1 takedowns per 15 minutes and 63% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Francisco Trinaldo's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Oct 1, 2022Randy BrownL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan-19
May 8, 2022Danny RobertsW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje+11
Oct 23, 2021Dwight GrantW · Decision - Split R3UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori+11
Jun 5, 2021Muslim SalikhovL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai-18
Jul 25, 2020Jai HerbertW · KO/TKO R3UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till+12
Mar 14, 2020John MakdessiW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira+11
Nov 16, 2019King GreenW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare+9
Jul 21, 2019Alexander HernandezL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards-20
Sep 23, 2018Evan DunhamW · KO/TKO R2UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders+17
Feb 18, 2018James VickL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Medeiros-16
Oct 29, 2017Jim MillerW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida+9
Mar 12, 2017Kevin LeeL · Submission R2UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum-21
Sep 25, 2016Paul FelderW · TKO - Doctor's Stoppage R3UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg+13
May 14, 2016Yancy MedeirosW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 198: Werdum vs. Miocic+21
Jan 18, 2016Ross PearsonW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs. Cruz+27
Aug 23, 2015Chad LapriseW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Oliveira+35
May 30, 2015Norman ParkeW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Condit vs. Alves+26
Mar 21, 2015Akbarh ArreolaW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. LaFlare+32

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →