No single dominant tool
Matt's rates don't point hard in any direction — 3 strikes landed a minute, 0 takedowns per 15, 56% takedown defense. That's the most common profile in the sport and the hardest to project, because the matchup rather than the fighter decides which skill ends up mattering.
How the model reads him
Matt's number is a matchup output — rating against rating, then style against style, plus age and layoff — graded on the fight board like every other call. Our tape covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on, and one punch can settle a fight the better fighter was winning. For Matt specifically, Matt has only 2 fights on our tape, so every rate here is built on very little.
The full method is on the fight board, and every published call is graded on the report card.