Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Sunday, September 20, 2026
Top doubles spot: Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman (BOS) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Griffin Jax. The lefty is driving the ball at .077 2B/PA against righties this year — and .167 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a double in about 8% of his trips. And Griffin Jax has been tough to drive against righties lately — .000 doubles per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .200 in 5 career PA against Griffin Jax, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Julio Rodríguez (SEA) (98) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: an excellent bat at .056 into an arm around league average against the same side (.043).
- James Wood (WSH) (96) vs LHP Quinn Mathews: a strong bat at .053 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.091).
- Dominic Canzone (SEA) (96) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: an excellent bat at .058 into an arm keeping the ball in front of the same side (.040), hot bat.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) (94) vs RHP Troy Melton: a strong bat at .054 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.087), due to bounce back.
- Brice Turang (MIL) (94) vs RHP Brandon Young: an excellent bat at .059 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.029).
- Andrew Benintendi (CWS) (91) vs RHP Troy Melton: an excellent bat at .060 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.087), due to bounce back.
- Alex Bregman (CHC) (90) vs RHP Rhett Lowder: a strong bat at .055 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.154), due to bounce back.
Platoon edges to target
- Adley Rutschman (BOS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .077 against righties this year.
- Dominic Canzone (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .062 against righties this year.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .047 against righties this year.
- Brice Turang (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .061 against righties this year.
- Andrew Benintendi (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .057 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Dominic Canzone (SEA), Randy Arozarena (SEA), Riley Greene (DET), Connor Norby (COL), Bo Bichette (NYM), and Dustin Harris (SD). Cold but due to bounce back: Sam Antonacci (CWS), Andrew Benintendi (CWS), Alex Bregman (CHC), Garrett Mitchell (MIL), and Jonny DeLuca (TB).
How it played out
2 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Adley Rutschman finished with 0 doubles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.