Best MLB Singles Matchups — Friday, September 4, 2026
Top singles spot: Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Logan Gilbert. The righty is lining singles at .198 1B/PA against righties this year — and .216 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a single in about 18% of his trips. And Logan Gilbert has been getting picked apart by righties lately — .182 singles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 3 career PA against Logan Gilbert, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Brett Bateman (TOR) (100) vs LHP Daniel Lynch IV: an excellent bat at .188 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.250).
- Bryan Torres (STL) (100) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: an excellent bat at .183 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.207).
- Blaze Alexander (BAL) (100) vs LHP Ranger Suarez: an excellent bat at .176 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.233).
- Nick Gonzales (PIT) (100) vs RHP Ryan Johnson: an elite bat at .219 into an arm tough to string hits off the same side (.111), hot bat.
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (99) vs RHP Trevor Williams: an elite bat at .191 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.182).
- Steven Kwan (CLE) (98) vs RHP Keider Montero: an elite bat at .204 into an arm fairly stingy against the same side (.125).
- Geraldo Perdomo (AZ) (93) vs RHP Cristian Javier: an excellent bat at .171 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.278).
Platoon edges to target
- Bryan Torres (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .184 against righties this year.
- Blaze Alexander (BAL) — righty bat vs LHP, .221 against lefties this year.
- Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .209 against righties this year.
- Geraldo Perdomo (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .147 against righties this year.
- Samad Taylor (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .313 against lefties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Nick Gonzales (PIT), Coby Mayo (BAL), Cody Bellinger (NYY), Jake McCarthy (COL), Luke Keaschall (MIN), and Roman Anthony (BOS). Cold but due to bounce back: Kyle Schwarber (PHI), Junior Caminero (TB), Alec Burleson (STL), Nico Hoerner (CHC), and Mauricio Dubón (ATL).
How it played out
4 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. Top play Henry Bolte finished with 0 singles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.