MatchWiz

Randal Grichuk

Randal Grichuk — hitting .288 in our graded log with 8 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
60.4
Doubles · vs NYM · 2026-08-22
Our calls on him · hits
67%
1+ hit in 4/6 top-20 calls
Games graded
73
this season, box-score final
Randal Grichuk
DHBats RThrows RChicago White Sox
Doubles60.4/100proj 0.2RBIs58.7/100proj 0.5Runs58.6/100proj 0.5H+R+RBI54.2/100proj 1.7Total Bases51.9/100proj 1.6Hits45.3/100proj 1Singles39.8/100proj 0.6Fantasy Points35.2/100proj 6.3Triples27.7/100proj 0Home Runs21.6/100proj 0.1Walks21.6/100proj 0.3Stolen Bases2.7/100proj 0

Last scored matchup

Randal isn't on today's slate. He was last scored yesterday, at home against New York Mets on Saturday, August 22, 2026, where he landed on doubles (60.4/100), rbis (58.7/100), runs (58.6/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

He's swinging a hot bat

Randal is 9-for-20 (.450) over his last 10 games — well clear of his .288 season mark. Our model does lean on recent form, but it weights it against the matchup rather than chasing it: a hot bat facing a tough arm in a bad park still grades as a tough spot. Streaks like this one also end without warning, which is why the score moves on the matchup and not on the streak.

What kind of hitter he is

Randal has 8 home runs and 27 extra-base hits in 156 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Randal hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Randal has recorded at least one hit in 37 of 69 games he's batted in — 54% — with 7 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Randal is hitting .293 at home (22-for-75) and .284 on the road (23-for-81) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Randal's biggest night was Friday, August 21, 2026 against NYM — 2-for-3 with 1 homer, 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Randal have graded

In the 6 games where we ranked Randal a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 4 times — 67%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Randal was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: doubles graded 60.4/100 while stolen bases came in at 2.7/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Randal's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, August 22vs NYM10000
Friday, August 21vs NYM32111
Thursday, August 20vs ATL10000
Wednesday, August 19@ CHC21010
Tuesday, August 18@ CHC10000
Monday, August 17@ CHC31113
Sunday, August 16@ 31010
Saturday, August 15@ 22010
Thursday, August 13vs CIN32003
Wednesday, August 12vs CIN10000
Tuesday, August 11vs CIN41010
Sunday, August 9vs CLE31011

Randal Grichuk — FAQ

Is Randal Grichuk playing today?

Randal Grichuk isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Saturday, August 22, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Randal Grichuk graded?

In the 6 games where our model ranked Randal a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 4 times — 67%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Randal Grichuk been hitting lately?

Randal is 9-for-20 (.450) over his last 10 games, against .288 on the season across 156 at-bats in our log, with 8 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Randal Grichuk appear on?

Randal was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — doubles, rbis, runs, h+r+rbi, total bases. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Randal Grichuk's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).