MatchWiz

Sean Murphy

Sean Murphy — hitting .189 in our graded log with 4 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
31.3
Home Runs · vs LAD · 2026-10-07
Our calls on him · hits
50%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
34
this season, box-score final
Sean Murphy
CBats RThrows RAtlanta Braves
Home Runs31.3/100proj 0.1#35RBIs24.5/100proj 0.4#45Walks21/100proj 0.3#41Singles17.3/100proj 0.5#51Doubles13.5/100proj 0.1#46Runs12.8/100proj 0.4#49H+R+RBI12.6/100proj 1.3#51Triples11.5/100proj 0#54Hits10.6/100proj 0.8#54Total Bases7.1/100proj 1.2#54Fantasy Points4/100proj 5.1#53Stolen Bases2.2/100proj 0#50

Last scored matchup

Sean isn't on today's slate. He was last scored yesterday, at home against Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday, October 7, 2026, where he landed on home runs (31.3/100), rbis (24.5/100), walks (21/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Sean is 5-for-27 (.185) over his last 10 games, in line with his .189 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Sean strikes out a lot — 36 strikeouts in 111 at-bats, roughly 32%. That cuts both ways in the WizLine. It drags his floor on the hits board, since he needs contact to get there. But it barely dents the power boards, where one swing settles it — he's got 4 homers. Against a high-strikeout arm his score will fall further than a contact hitter's would.

He's a right-handed bat

Sean hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Sean has recorded at least one hit in 16 of 34 games he's batted in — 47% — with 4 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Sean is hitting .232 at home (13-for-56) and .145 on the road (8-for-55) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.

Against Los Angeles Dodgers

Sean is 1-for-7 (.143) against Los Angeles Dodgers in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 7 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Sean a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 2 times so far. He's appeared in 34 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Sean was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: home runs graded 31.3/100 while stolen bases came in at 2.2/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Sean and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Sean specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, October 7vs LAD30000
Sunday, October 4@ LAD10000
Saturday, October 3@ LAD31111
Wednesday, September 30vs PHI31010
Sunday, September 27@ MIA42000
Friday, September 25@ MIA31000
Thursday, September 24vs CIN20000
Wednesday, September 23vs CIN30000
Tuesday, September 22vs CIN30000
Saturday, September 19@ HOU20010
Friday, September 18@ HOU40000
Wednesday, September 16@ CHC40001

Sean Murphy — FAQ

Is Sean Murphy playing today?

Sean Murphy isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Sean Murphy been hitting lately?

Sean is 5-for-27 (.185) over his last 10 games, against .189 on the season across 111 at-bats in our log, with 4 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Sean Murphy appear on?

Sean was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — home runs, rbis, walks, singles, doubles. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Sean Murphy's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).