Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Hawks123
Spurs116FinalFrost Bank CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hawks | 20 | 42 | 31 | 30 | 123 |
 Spurs | 39 | 30 | 26 | 21 | 116 |
Box score
FinalAtlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron WigginsG | 24 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG | 23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Onyeka OkongwuF | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Dyson DanielsG | 21 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Corey KispertF | 21 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kingston FlemingsG | 20 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| CJ McCollumG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Asa NewellF | 14 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jock LandaleC | 14 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Zuby EjioforF | 14 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jalen WilsonForward | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| RayJ DennisG | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kobe JohnsonG | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Dorian Finney-SmithF | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Cameron CorhenF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 123 | 43 | 30 | 46-103 | 18-46 | 13-16 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 24 |
Did not play Henri Veesaar coach's decision · Isaac McKneely coach's decision · Jalen Johnson coach's decision · Keshon Gilbert coach's decision · Luguentz Dort coach's decision · Mouhamed Gueye coach's decision
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter BryantF | 23 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Dylan HarperG | 19 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Keldon JohnsonF | 19 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Stephon CastleG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Devin VassellG | 18 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Julian ChampagnieF | 18 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Victor WembanyamaF | 17 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Harrison BarnesF | 17 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Tarris Reed Jr.C | 17 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| David Jones GarciaF | 15 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Luke KornetC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan McLaughlinG | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Ja'Kobi GillespieGuard | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Taelon PeterG | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| RJ DavisG | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jon ElmoreG | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Team | — | 116 | 49 | 20 | 37-80 | 14-37 | 28-35 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 16 |
Did not play De'Aaron Fox coach's decision · Malik Williams coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Hawks | Spurs | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-103 | FG | 37-80 |
| 44.7% | FG% | 46.3% |
| 18-46 | 3PT | 14-37 |
| 39.1% | 3PT% | 37.8% |
| 13-16 | FT | 28-35 |
| 43 | Rebounds | 49 |
| 16 | Off reb | 13 |
| 30 | Assists | 20 |
| 12 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 22 |
| 24 | Fouls | 16 |
104.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Thursday, October 8ProjectedHawks 117.3 · Spurs 120.9
Our lineSpurs −3.6
Total238.3
Win probSpurs 64% · Hawks 36%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.