Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Hornets79
Wizards95FinalCapital One ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hornets | 26 | 20 | 13 | 20 | 79 |
 Wizards | 22 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 95 |
Box score
FinalCharlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon MillerF | 37 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 7-24 | 3-13 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Naz ReidC | 31 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 5-17 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Moussa DiabateF | 31 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Dennis SchroderG | 29 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Sion JamesG | 29 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Grayson AllenG | 21 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Royce O'NealeF | 17 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ryan KalkbrennerC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Christian AndersonG | 14 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Tidjane SalaunF | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Liam McNeeleyG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Hannes SteinbachF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| PJ HallC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 79 | 55 | 22 | 30-101 | 12-56 | 7-12 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae YoungG | 38 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 12-14 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Anthony DavisF | 34 | 25 | 13 | 1 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Kyshawn GeorgeF | 32 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| AJ DybantsaF | 30 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Alex SarrC | 29 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Bilal CoulibalyG | 22 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Bub CarringtonG | 20 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Deandre AytonC | 17 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Tre JohnsonG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Khris MiddletonF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tre MannG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Will RileyG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 95 | 52 | 18 | 28-72 | 10-30 | 29-35 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 |
Did not play Anthony Gill coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Hornets | Wizards | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-101 | FG | 28-72 |
| 29.7% | FG% | 38.9% |
| 12-56 | 3PT | 10-30 |
| 21.4% | 3PT% | 33.3% |
| 7-12 | FT | 29-35 |
| 55 | Rebounds | 52 |
| 18 | Off reb | 8 |
| 22 | Assists | 18 |
| 12 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 27 | Fouls | 17 |
97.3 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Friday, October 30ProjectedHornets 120.9 · Wizards 109.0
Our lineHornets −11.9
Total229.9
Win probWizards 12% · Hornets 88%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.