Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Hornets110
Nets103FinalBarclays CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hornets | 27 | 27 | 32 | 24 | 110 |
 Nets | 23 | 25 | 33 | 22 | 103 |
Box score
FinalCharlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon MillerF | 36 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 7-21 | 3-14 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Dennis SchroderG | 35 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Moussa DiabateF | 34 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Naz ReidC | 33 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 8-19 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Grayson AllenG | 29 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Sion JamesG | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Royce O'NealeF | 17 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Ryan KalkbrennerC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Christian AndersonG | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Liam McNeeleyG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 110 | 44 | 26 | 41-93 | 15-48 | 13-15 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 23 |
Did not play Hannes Steinbach coach's decision · PJ Hall coach's decision · Tidjane Salaun coach's decision
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius RandleF | 38 | 33 | 8 | 7 | 11-18 | 3-5 | 8-11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Michael Porter Jr.F | 34 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 10-21 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Keon EllisG | 34 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Day'Ron SharpeC | 30 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Egor DeminGuard | 27 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Noah ClowneyF | 22 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Mikel Brown Jr.G | 20 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Moritz WagnerC | 16 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Nolan TraoreG | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Chaney JohnsonF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Team | — | 103 | 38 | 22 | 36-80 | 12-31 | 19-25 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 25 |
Did not play Ben Saraf coach's decision · Danny Wolf coach's decision · Drake Powell coach's decision · Josh Minott coach's decision · Terance Mann coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Hornets | Nets | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-93 | FG | 36-80 |
| 44.1% | FG% | 45.0% |
| 15-48 | 3PT | 12-31 |
| 31.3% | 3PT% | 38.7% |
| 13-15 | FT | 19-25 |
| 44 | Rebounds | 38 |
| 15 | Off reb | 11 |
| 26 | Assists | 22 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 22 |
| 23 | Fouls | 25 |
103.8 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Hornets on 4 days, Nets on 6 days.
What the model says
Wednesday, October 21ProjectedHornets 115.8 · Nets 105.3
Our lineHornets −10.6
Total221.1
Win probNets 15% · Hornets 85%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.