Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Hawks128
Hornets81FinalSpectrum CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hawks | 33 | 35 | 29 | 31 | 128 |
 Hornets | 20 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 81 |
Box score
FinalAtlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen JohnsonF | 29 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG | 27 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kingston FlemingsG | 25 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Dyson DanielsG | 23 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Aaron WigginsG | 22 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| CJ McCollumG | 22 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Onyeka OkongwuF | 22 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Luguentz DortG | 19 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jock LandaleC | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Corey KispertF | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Asa NewellF | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dorian Finney-SmithF | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Zuby EjioforF | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Team | — | 128 | 48 | 37 | 48-95 | 18-45 | 14-22 | 12 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 21 |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naz ReidC | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| Sion JamesG | 24 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Tidjane SalaunF | 23 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Brandon MillerF | 23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-14 | 1-11 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Moussa DiabateF | 21 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Grayson AllenG | 20 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Dennis SchroderG | 20 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Ryan KalkbrennerC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Royce O'NealeF | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Christian AndersonG | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Hannes SteinbachF | 12 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam McNeeleyG | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| PJ HallC | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 81 | 48 | 21 | 30-87 | 11-51 | 10-12 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 18 |
Did not play Michael Ajayi coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Hawks | Hornets | |
|---|---|---|
| 48-95 | FG | 30-87 |
| 50.5% | FG% | 34.5% |
| 18-45 | 3PT | 11-51 |
| 40.0% | 3PT% | 21.6% |
| 14-22 | FT | 10-12 |
| 48 | Rebounds | 48 |
| 12 | Off reb | 19 |
| 37 | Assists | 21 |
| 17 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 27 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
103.0 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Friday, October 23ProjectedHawks 113.4 · Hornets 117.1
Our lineHornets −3.8
Total230.5
Win probHornets 65% · Hawks 35%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.