Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Mavericks121
Pacers105FinalGainbridge FieldhouseScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mavericks | 44 | 33 | 21 | 23 | 121 |
 Pacers | 27 | 16 | 33 | 29 | 105 |
Box score
FinalDallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max ChristieG | 38 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| P.J. WashingtonF | 33 | 20 | 13 | 0 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Naji MarshallF | 33 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Zaccharie RisacherF | 32 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Marcus SasserG | 27 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Kyrie IrvingG | 25 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 8-15 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| Cooper FlaggF | 17 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Morez Johnson Jr.F | 17 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Daniel GaffordF | 15 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Moussa CisseC | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sergio de LarreaForward | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tobi LawalF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Walter Clayton Jr.G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 121 | 46 | 28 | 44-88 | 14-34 | 19-23 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 27 |
Did not play Dwight Powell coach's decision
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese HaliburtonGuard | 32 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 8-17 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Andrew NembhardG | 32 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Pascal SiakamF | 29 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 4-7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Obi ToppinF | 25 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Ivica ZubacC | 24 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Aaron NesmithG | 20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.G | 20 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quenton JacksonG | 17 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jarace WalkerF | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Jalen SlawsonF | 16 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Jay HuffC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kobe BrownG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Larry Nance Jr.F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 105 | 42 | 27 | 39-88 | 7-32 | 20-28 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 20 |
Team stats
Final| Mavericks | Pacers | |
|---|---|---|
| 44-88 | FG | 39-88 |
| 50.0% | FG% | 44.3% |
| 14-34 | 3PT | 7-32 |
| 41.2% | 3PT% | 21.9% |
| 19-23 | FT | 20-28 |
| 46 | Rebounds | 42 |
| 11 | Off reb | 13 |
| 28 | Assists | 27 |
| 10 | Steals | 6 |
| 11 | Blocks | 6 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 21 |
| 27 | Fouls | 20 |
105.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Friday, October 23ProjectedMavericks 120.3 · Pacers 120.1
Our lineMavericks −0.2
Total240.3
Win probPacers 49% · Mavericks 51%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.