Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Kings103
Spurs130FinalFrost Bank CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kings | 29 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 103 |
 Spurs | 39 | 41 | 27 | 23 | 130 |
Box score
FinalSacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas SabonisF | 37 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| De'Andre HunterF | 33 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Darius Acuff Jr.G | 33 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 8-20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Zach LaVineG | 31 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Emanuel SharpG | 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Jonathan MogboF | 18 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Daeqwon PlowdenG | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Precious AchiuwaF | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Malik MonkG | 13 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Alex KarabanF | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Leaky BlackF | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nique CliffordG | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 103 | 38 | 28 | 40-93 | 13-37 | 10-13 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 22 |
Did not play Adam Flagler coach's decision
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan HarperG | 30 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Victor WembanyamaF | 27 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 14-21 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Stephon CastleG | 27 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| De'Aaron FoxG | 26 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Julian ChampagnieF | 25 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 9-14 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Devin VassellG | 24 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Keldon JohnsonF | 22 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Carter BryantF | 17 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Luke KornetC | 17 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Harrison BarnesF | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan McLaughlinG | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tarris Reed Jr.C | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Team | — | 130 | 46 | 35 | 49-90 | 17-37 | 15-19 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 18 |
Team stats
Final| Kings | Spurs | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-93 | FG | 49-90 |
| 43.0% | FG% | 54.4% |
| 13-37 | 3PT | 17-37 |
| 35.1% | 3PT% | 45.9% |
| 10-13 | FT | 15-19 |
| 38 | Rebounds | 46 |
| 13 | Off reb | 9 |
| 28 | Assists | 35 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
102.0 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Kings on 1 day, Spurs on 2 days.
What the model says
Tuesday, October 27ProjectedKings 105.6 · Spurs 125.8
Our lineSpurs −20.1
Total231.4
Win probSpurs 97% · Kings 4%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.