Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Hornets89
Pistons97FinalLittle Caesars ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hornets | 22 | 29 | 19 | 19 | 89 |
 Pistons | 21 | 23 | 32 | 21 | 97 |
Box score
FinalCharlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon MillerF | 38 | 31 | 12 | 3 | 12-26 | 3-10 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Moussa DiabateF | 35 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Dennis SchroderG | 34 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| Royce O'NealeF | 34 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Grayson AllenG | 30 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Sion JamesG | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Naz ReidC | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Ryan KalkbrennerC | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Tidjane SalaunF | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Christian AndersonG | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Team | — | 89 | 45 | 17 | 31-71 | 12-35 | 15-19 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 23 |
Did not play Hannes Steinbach coach's decision · Liam McNeeley coach's decision · PJ Hall coach's decision
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade CunninghamG | 39 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 10-22 | 4-9 | 6-8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Paul ReedF | 38 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Duncan RobinsonF | 32 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Ausar ThompsonG | 29 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Daniss JenkinsG | 24 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Javonte GreenG | 21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Kevin HuerterG | 19 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John CollinsF | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Ronald Holland IIF | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Taurean PrinceF | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tolu SmithF | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 97 | 33 | 26 | 34-76 | 13-33 | 16-20 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 24 |
Did not play Chaz Lanier coach's decision · Ebuka Okorie coach's decision · Elijah Harkless coach's decision · Isaac Jones coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Hornets | Pistons | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-71 | FG | 34-76 |
| 43.7% | FG% | 44.7% |
| 12-35 | 3PT | 13-33 |
| 34.3% | 3PT% | 39.4% |
| 15-19 | FT | 16-20 |
| 45 | Rebounds | 33 |
| 9 | Off reb | 7 |
| 17 | Assists | 26 |
| 7 | Steals | 13 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 25 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 23 | Fouls | 24 |
93.6 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Hornets on 1 day, Pistons on no rest.
What the model says
Wednesday, October 28ProjectedHornets 109.0 · Pistons 115.6
Our linePistons −6.6
Total224.6
Win probPistons 75% · Hornets 25%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.