Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Jazz97
Spurs119FinalFrost Bank CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jazz | 16 | 33 | 20 | 28 | 97 |
 Spurs | 27 | 32 | 35 | 25 | 119 |
Box score
FinalUtah Jazz
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darryn PetersonG | 33 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Lauri MarkkanenF | 31 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ace BaileyG | 24 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jaxson HayesC | 22 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Keyonte GeorgeG | 22 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Josh OkogieG | 19 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Mo BambaC | 18 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Josh GreenG | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Brice SensabaughF | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Svi MykhailiukG | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Isaiah CollierG | 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kyle FilipowskiF | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony BradleyC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 97 | 53 | 16 | 34-96 | 12-34 | 17-22 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 17 |
Did not play Kobe Bufkin coach's decision
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan HarperG | 27 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Keldon JohnsonF | 27 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Stephon CastleG | 26 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Devin VassellG | 25 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Victor WembanyamaF | 24 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| De'Aaron FoxG | 22 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Julian ChampagnieF | 22 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Harrison BarnesF | 21 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Luke KornetC | 17 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Carter BryantF | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Jordan McLaughlinG | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tarris Reed Jr.C | 7 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Team | — | 119 | 53 | 27 | 42-91 | 11-32 | 24-30 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 23 |
Team stats
Final| Jazz | Spurs | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-96 | FG | 42-91 |
| 35.4% | FG% | 46.2% |
| 12-34 | 3PT | 11-32 |
| 35.3% | 3PT% | 34.4% |
| 17-22 | FT | 24-30 |
| 53 | Rebounds | 53 |
| 17 | Off reb | 9 |
| 16 | Assists | 27 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 7 | Blocks | 7 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 23 |
103.4 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedJazz 110.4 · Spurs 128.6
Our lineSpurs −18.2
Total239.0
Win probSpurs 95% · Jazz 5%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.