Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Mavericks111
Spurs112FinalFrost Bank CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mavericks | 26 | 25 | 29 | 31 | 111 |
 Spurs | 32 | 36 | 22 | 22 | 112 |
Box score
FinalDallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper FlaggF | 40 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 7-19 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| P.J. WashingtonF | 39 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 7-18 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Kyrie IrvingG | 36 | 29 | 7 | 5 | 9-27 | 5-14 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Naji MarshallF | 26 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 9-12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Walter Clayton Jr.G | 21 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Caleb MartinF | 20 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Morez Johnson Jr.F | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Daniel GaffordF | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Zaccharie RisacherF | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Marcus SasserG | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 111 | 50 | 29 | 39-102 | 14-37 | 19-26 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 |
Did not play Jett Howard coach's decision · Moussa Cisse coach's decision · Tobi Lawal coach's decision
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan HarperG | 36 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Devin VassellG | 36 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Stephon CastleG | 35 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 6-20 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Victor WembanyamaF | 34 | 52 | 24 | 2 | 16-28 | 1-8 | 19-23 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 2 |
| De'Aaron FoxG | 33 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Julian ChampagnieF | 21 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Keldon JohnsonF | 19 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Luke KornetC | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Harrison BarnesF | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 112 | 61 | 20 | 37-95 | 5-36 | 33-39 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
Did not play Carter Bryant coach's decision · Jordan McLaughlin coach's decision · Tarris Reed Jr. coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Mavericks | Spurs | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-102 | FG | 37-95 |
| 38.2% | FG% | 38.9% |
| 14-37 | 3PT | 5-36 |
| 37.8% | 3PT% | 13.9% |
| 19-26 | FT | 33-39 |
| 50 | Rebounds | 61 |
| 18 | Off reb | 22 |
| 29 | Assists | 20 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 10 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 27 | Fouls | 20 |
101.8 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedMavericks 110.7 · Spurs 125.6
Our lineSpurs −14.9
Total236.3
Win probSpurs 92% · Mavericks 8%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.