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Projected combined tackles for every defender this week, built from defensive snap share, how many plays his opponent runs, and how often that opponent runs the ball.
MIA @ LVSun 4 PM9.2tkl9tklof 9.5
KC vs DENMon 8 PM8.5tkl4tklof 8.5
MIN vs GBSun 4 PM7.1tkl7tklof 9.5
DEN @ KCMon 8 PM6.6tkl15tklof 9.5
CLE @ JAXSun 1 PM6.6tkl10tklof 9.5
SEA vs NEWed 8 PM6.4tkl13tklof 8.5
BAL @ INDSun 1 PM6.3tkl11tklof 9.5
DET vs NOSun 1 PM6.0tkl7tklof 9.5
KC vs DENMon 8 PM6.0tkl7tklof 6.5
CAR vs CHISun 1 PM5.7tkl6tklof 6.5
ARI @ LACSun 4 PM5.7tkl6tklof 7.5
HOU vs BUFSun 1 PM5.7tkl8tklof 7.5
SF @ LARThu 8 PM5.6tkl11tklof 8.5
PHI vs WSHSun 4 PM5.5tkl12tklof 7.5
IND vs BALSun 1 PM5.5tkl8tklof 6.5
NYG vs DALSun 8 PM5.5tkl8tklof 7.5
ARI @ LACSun 4 PM5.5tkl5tklof 7.5
CHI @ CARSun 1 PM5.4tkl6tklof 7.5
LAR vs SFThu 8 PM5.4tkl8tklof 7.5
KC vs DENMon 8 PM5.2tkl3tklof 5.5
DEN @ KCMon 8 PM5.1tkl6tklof 6.5
NE @ SEAWed 8 PM5.0tkl8tklof 7.5
HOU vs BUFSun 1 PM4.9tkl2tklof 6.5
BAL @ INDSun 1 PM4.9tkl5tklof 6.5
CHI @ CARSun 1 PM4.8tkl1tklof 7.5
GB @ MINSun 4 PM4.8tkl7tklof 7.5
LAC vs ARISun 4 PM4.8tkl8tklof 7.5
ATL @ PITSun 1 PM4.8tkl6tklof 6.5
HOU vs BUFSun 1 PM4.8tkl3tklof 5.5
MIN vs GBSun 4 PM4.8tkl3tklof 6.5Graded against the official gamebook. Betting every line blind returned −1.3%, so the board is doing real work — but at 746 graded lines the whole-board edge is +1.4%, which is inside the noise. The tiers above are small samples and should be read that way.
Every number here comes from the same drive-level simulation as the matchups board, so a player's line and his team's projected points are the same game. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).