NHL Shots on Goal
Every skater's shot rate per 60 minutes, shrunk toward his position so a fourth-liner's hot week doesn't read as a top line.
Fri, Oct 9, graded
2026-27 · 2822 gradedFri, Oct 9+8.37u42-29 · 59.2%
Season to date−36.78u1491-1331 · 52.8%
Every over, blind−261.32u1339-1483 · 47.4%
Every player a book priced, graded the morning after on the side our number preferred at the close. Not picks — nothing here was posted. Units are a flat 1u at the best closing price on that side across books, which is a little kinder than any one book. The dashed cell takes the over on every line with no model at all — if we can't beat that, the number isn't adding anything.
Fri, Oct 9 · graded at the close
71 skaters a book priced, across 4 games. Each is graded on the side our number preferred at the close, at the line most books hung and the best closing price on that side. Green hit, red missed.
Games4
Position
Result
SkaterMatchupResult
1
CBJ vs PITKent JohnsonCWizLine 1.38 · 60.4% underBook 46.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+110Miss−1.00u
CBJ vs PIT2SOG
CBJ vs PITKent JohnsonCWizLine 1.38 · 60.4% underBook 46.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+110Miss−1.00uCBJ vs PIT2SOG2
CBJ vs PITDmitri VoronkovLWWizLine 1.12 · 69.2% underBook 56.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−150Miss−1.00uCBJ vs PIT5SOG
CBJ vs PITDmitri VoronkovLWWizLine 1.12 · 69.2% underBook 56.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−150Miss−1.00uCBJ vs PIT5SOG3
WPG vs ANACole PerfettiCWizLine 2.11 · 64.8% underBook 52.6% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−110Hit+0.91u
WPG vs ANA0SOG
WPG vs ANACole PerfettiCWizLine 2.11 · 64.8% underBook 52.6% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−110Hit+0.91uWPG vs ANA0SOG4
DET vs SEAViktor ArvidssonLWWizLine 2.53 · 54.3% underBook 44.7% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+110Miss−1.00u
DET vs SEA3SOG
DET vs SEAViktor ArvidssonLWWizLine 2.53 · 54.3% underBook 44.7% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+110Miss−1.00uDET vs SEA3SOG5
SEA @ DETBerkly CattonCWizLine 1.38 · 60.3% underBook 50.7% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−120Miss−1.00u
SEA @ DET4SOG
SEA @ DETBerkly CattonCWizLine 1.38 · 60.3% underBook 50.7% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−120Miss−1.00uSEA @ DET4SOG6
CBJ vs PITZach WerenskiDWizLine 3.21 · 60.4% underBook 50.9% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−115Hit+0.87uCBJ vs PIT3SOG
CBJ vs PITZach WerenskiDWizLine 3.21 · 60.4% underBook 50.9% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−115Hit+0.87uCBJ vs PIT3SOG7
DET vs SEADylan LarkinCWizLine 2.90 · 66.8% underBook 57.4% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−154Hit+0.65uDET vs SEA1SOG
DET vs SEADylan LarkinCWizLine 2.90 · 66.8% underBook 57.4% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−154Hit+0.65uDET vs SEA1SOG8
ANA @ WPGCutter GauthierLWWizLine 3.34 · 57.7% underBook 48.5% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG+100Hit+1.00u
ANA @ WPG1SOG
ANA @ WPGCutter GauthierLWWizLine 3.34 · 57.7% underBook 48.5% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG+100Hit+1.00uANA @ WPG1SOG9
PIT @ CBJEvgeni MalkinCWizLine 2.49 · 69.3% overBook 60.4% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−175Hit+0.57u
PIT @ CBJ3SOG
PIT @ CBJEvgeni MalkinCWizLine 2.49 · 69.3% overBook 60.4% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−175Hit+0.57uPIT @ CBJ3SOG10
SEA @ DETVince DunnDWizLine 1.87 · 45.3% underBook 36.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+150Miss−1.00uSEA @ DET2SOG
SEA @ DETVince DunnDWizLine 1.87 · 45.3% underBook 36.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+150Miss−1.00uSEA @ DET2SOG11
WSH vs NYRAlex OvechkinLWWizLine 2.47 · 55.8% underBook 47.6% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−105Hit+0.95u
WSH vs NYR2SOG
WSH vs NYRAlex OvechkinLWWizLine 2.47 · 55.8% underBook 47.6% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−105Hit+0.95uWSH vs NYR2SOG12
WPG vs ANAKyle ConnorLWWizLine 3.25 · 59.6% underBook 51.5% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−125Hit+0.80uWPG vs ANA3SOG
WPG vs ANAKyle ConnorLWWizLine 3.25 · 59.6% underBook 51.5% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−125Hit+0.80uWPG vs ANA3SOG13
WPG vs ANANeal PionkDWizLine 1.80 · 47.1% underBook 39.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+145Hit+1.45uWPG vs ANA0SOG
WPG vs ANANeal PionkDWizLine 1.80 · 47.1% underBook 39.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+145Hit+1.45uWPG vs ANA0SOG14
ANA @ WPGMikael GranlundCWizLine 2.16 · 62.3% overBook 55.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69uANA @ WPG2SOG
ANA @ WPGMikael GranlundCWizLine 2.16 · 62.3% overBook 55.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69uANA @ WPG2SOG15
WSH vs NYRJakob ChychrunDWizLine 2.41 · 57.3% underBook 50.0% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−110Miss−1.00uWSH vs NYR3SOG
WSH vs NYRJakob ChychrunDWizLine 2.41 · 57.3% underBook 50.0% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−110Miss−1.00uWSH vs NYR3SOG16
SEA @ DETShane WrightCWizLine 1.31 · 62.7% underBook 55.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−150Hit+0.67uSEA @ DET0SOG
SEA @ DETShane WrightCWizLine 1.31 · 62.7% underBook 55.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−150Hit+0.67uSEA @ DET0SOG17
NYR @ WSHPavel DorofeyevRWWizLine 2.57 · 53.5% underBook 46.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+108Miss−1.00u
NYR @ WSH4SOG
NYR @ WSHPavel DorofeyevRWWizLine 2.57 · 53.5% underBook 46.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+108Miss−1.00uNYR @ WSH4SOG18
PIT @ CBJTommy NovakCWizLine 1.86 · 54.4% overBook 47.9% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+100Miss−1.00uPIT @ CBJ1SOG
PIT @ CBJTommy NovakCWizLine 1.86 · 54.4% overBook 47.9% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+100Miss−1.00uPIT @ CBJ1SOG19
WSH vs NYRCole HutsonDWizLine 1.53 · 55.4% underBook 49.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−110Miss−1.00uWSH vs NYR2SOG
WSH vs NYRCole HutsonDWizLine 1.53 · 55.4% underBook 49.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−110Miss−1.00uWSH vs NYR2SOG20
PIT @ CBJErik KarlssonDWizLine 2.08 · 65.5% underBook 59.4% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−160Hit+0.63uPIT @ CBJ0SOG
PIT @ CBJErik KarlssonDWizLine 2.08 · 65.5% underBook 59.4% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−160Hit+0.63uPIT @ CBJ0SOG21
DET vs SEALucas RaymondLWWizLine 2.35 · 58.7% underBook 53.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−125Miss−1.00uDET vs SEA3SOG
DET vs SEALucas RaymondLWWizLine 2.35 · 58.7% underBook 53.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−125Miss−1.00uDET vs SEA3SOG22
PIT @ CBJHendrix LapierreCWizLine 1.09 · 70.2% underBook 64.7% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−225Hit+0.44uPIT @ CBJ1SOG
PIT @ CBJHendrix LapierreCWizLine 1.09 · 70.2% underBook 64.7% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−225Hit+0.44uPIT @ CBJ1SOG23
WSH vs NYRPierre-Luc DuboisCWizLine 1.53 · 55.5% underBook 50.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−115Hit+0.87uWSH vs NYR1SOG
WSH vs NYRPierre-Luc DuboisCWizLine 1.53 · 55.5% underBook 50.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−115Hit+0.87uWSH vs NYR1SOG24
CBJ vs PITConor GarlandRWWizLine 1.43 · 58.8% underBook 53.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−125Hit+0.80uCBJ vs PIT0SOG
CBJ vs PITConor GarlandRWWizLine 1.43 · 58.8% underBook 53.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−125Hit+0.80uCBJ vs PIT0SOG25
ANA @ WPGBeckett SenneckeRWWizLine 2.58 · 53.2% underBook 47.9% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−104Hit+0.96uANA @ WPG0SOG
ANA @ WPGBeckett SenneckeRWWizLine 2.58 · 53.2% underBook 47.9% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−104Hit+0.96uANA @ WPG0SOG26
SEA @ DETBrandon MontourDWizLine 2.30 · 60.0% underBook 55.0% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−140Hit+0.71uSEA @ DET0SOG
SEA @ DETBrandon MontourDWizLine 2.30 · 60.0% underBook 55.0% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−140Hit+0.71uSEA @ DET0SOG27
PIT @ CBJKris LetangDWizLine 1.42 · 59.1% underBook 54.2% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−135Miss−1.00uPIT @ CBJ2SOG
PIT @ CBJKris LetangDWizLine 1.42 · 59.1% underBook 54.2% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−135Miss−1.00uPIT @ CBJ2SOG28
NYR @ WSHAdam FoxDWizLine 1.47 · 57.3% underBook 52.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−128Hit+0.78uNYR @ WSH0SOG
NYR @ WSHAdam FoxDWizLine 1.47 · 57.3% underBook 52.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−128Hit+0.78uNYR @ WSH0SOG29
SEA @ DETJordan EberleRWWizLine 1.92 · 56.1% overBook 51.7% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−125Miss−1.00uSEA @ DET1SOG
SEA @ DETJordan EberleRWWizLine 1.92 · 56.1% overBook 51.7% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−125Miss−1.00uSEA @ DET1SOG30
DET vs SEAAndrew CoppCWizLine 1.84 · 54.0% overBook 49.7% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−110Hit+0.91uDET vs SEA2SOG
DET vs SEAAndrew CoppCWizLine 1.84 · 54.0% overBook 49.7% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−110Hit+0.91uDET vs SEA2SOGNot picks. Nothing here was posted — this is every priced player, graded the morning after, so the record can't be cherry-picked. Tonight's shots on goal board →