NHL Shots on Goal
Every skater's shot rate per 60 minutes, shrunk toward his position so a fourth-liner's hot week doesn't read as a top line.
Tue, Oct 13, graded
2026-27 · 2822 gradedTue, Oct 13+2.72u153-132 · 53.7%
Season to date−36.78u1491-1331 · 52.8%
Every over, blind−261.32u1339-1483 · 47.4%
Every player a book priced, graded the morning after on the side our number preferred at the close. Not picks — nothing here was posted. Units are a flat 1u at the best closing price on that side across books, which is a little kinder than any one book. The dashed cell takes the over on every line with no model at all — if we can't beat that, the number isn't adding anything.
Tue, Oct 13 · graded at the close
286 skaters a book priced, across 16 games. Each is graded on the side our number preferred at the close, at the line most books hung and the best closing price on that side. Green hit, red missed.
Games16
Position
Result
SkaterMatchupResult
1
STL @ OTTAdam JiricekDWizLine 1.18 · 67.2% underBook 47.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00u
STL @ OTT3SOG
STL @ OTTAdam JiricekDWizLine 1.18 · 67.2% underBook 47.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uSTL @ OTT3SOG2
ANA vs CGYSam ColangeloRWWizLine 1.15 · 68.1% underBook 50.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00u
ANA vs CGY2SOG
ANA vs CGYSam ColangeloRWWizLine 1.15 · 68.1% underBook 50.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00uANA vs CGY2SOG3
SJS vs BOSMichael KesselringDWizLine 1.26 · 64.3% underBook 49.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−115Hit+0.87u
SJS vs BOS0SOG
SJS vs BOSMichael KesselringDWizLine 1.26 · 64.3% underBook 49.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−115Hit+0.87uSJS vs BOS0SOG4
WPG vs MINIsak RosenRWWizLine 1.22 · 65.7% underBook 51.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−125Miss−1.00u
WPG vs MIN2SOG
WPG vs MINIsak RosenRWWizLine 1.22 · 65.7% underBook 51.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−125Miss−1.00uWPG vs MIN2SOG5
CAR vs WSHWilliam CarrierLWWizLine 1.26 · 64.3% underBook 50.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−120Miss−1.00u
CAR vs WSH4SOG
CAR vs WSHWilliam CarrierLWWizLine 1.26 · 64.3% underBook 50.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−120Miss−1.00uCAR vs WSH4SOG6
NYI vs VANRyan PulockDWizLine 1.11 · 69.6% underBook 55.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−140Hit+0.71u
NYI vs VAN0SOG
NYI vs VANRyan PulockDWizLine 1.11 · 69.6% underBook 55.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−140Hit+0.71uNYI vs VAN0SOG7
WSH @ CARAlex OvechkinLWWizLine 2.08 · 65.7% underBook 52.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−130Hit+0.77u
WSH @ CAR2SOG
WSH @ CARAlex OvechkinLWWizLine 2.08 · 65.7% underBook 52.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−130Hit+0.77uWSH @ CAR2SOG8
SJS vs BOSKiefer SherwoodLWWizLine 2.11 · 61.0% overBook 47.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uSJS vs BOS1SOG
SJS vs BOSKiefer SherwoodLWWizLine 2.11 · 61.0% overBook 47.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uSJS vs BOS1SOG9
OTT vs STLCarter YakemchukDWizLine 1.15 · 68.2% underBook 54.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−130Miss−1.00u
OTT vs STL2SOG
OTT vs STLCarter YakemchukDWizLine 1.15 · 68.2% underBook 54.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−130Miss−1.00uOTT vs STL2SOG10
WPG vs MINCole PerfettiCWizLine 2.19 · 62.8% underBook 49.6% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uWPG vs MIN4SOG
WPG vs MINCole PerfettiCWizLine 2.19 · 62.8% underBook 49.6% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uWPG vs MIN4SOG11
PHI vs SEAPorter MartoneRWWizLine 1.78 · 73.3% underBook 60.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−176Hit+0.57u
PHI vs SEA1SOG
PHI vs SEAPorter MartoneRWWizLine 1.78 · 73.3% underBook 60.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−176Hit+0.57uPHI vs SEA1SOG12
STL @ OTTJimmy SnuggerudRWWizLine 2.08 · 65.5% underBook 52.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−122Hit+0.82uSTL @ OTT2SOG
STL @ OTTJimmy SnuggerudRWWizLine 2.08 · 65.5% underBook 52.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−122Hit+0.82uSTL @ OTT2SOG13
NSH vs VGKMatthew WoodRWWizLine 1.45 · 57.9% underBook 45.2% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+105Hit+1.05u
NSH vs VGK0SOG
NSH vs VGKMatthew WoodRWWizLine 1.45 · 57.9% underBook 45.2% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+105Hit+1.05uNSH vs VGK0SOG14
MTL vs BUFKaiden GuhleDWizLine 1.07 · 71.0% underBook 58.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−170Miss−1.00u
MTL vs BUF2SOG
MTL vs BUFKaiden GuhleDWizLine 1.07 · 71.0% underBook 58.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−170Miss−1.00uMTL vs BUF2SOG15
ANA vs CGYFrank VatranoRWWizLine 1.29 · 63.3% underBook 51.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83uANA vs CGY1SOG
ANA vs CGYFrank VatranoRWWizLine 1.29 · 63.3% underBook 51.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83uANA vs CGY1SOG16
EDM @ LAKVasily PodkolzinRWWizLine 2.12 · 64.7% underBook 52.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−130Miss−1.00u
EDM @ LAK3SOG
EDM @ LAKVasily PodkolzinRWWizLine 2.12 · 64.7% underBook 52.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−130Miss−1.00uEDM @ LAK3SOG17
EDM @ LAKLeon DraisaitlCWizLine 2.53 · 54.3% underBook 42.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+125Miss−1.00uEDM @ LAK3SOG
EDM @ LAKLeon DraisaitlCWizLine 2.53 · 54.3% underBook 42.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+125Miss−1.00uEDM @ LAK3SOG18
OTT vs STLWarren FoegeleLWWizLine 1.26 · 64.3% underBook 52.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−130Hit+0.77uOTT vs STL1SOG
OTT vs STLWarren FoegeleLWWizLine 1.26 · 64.3% underBook 52.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−130Hit+0.77uOTT vs STL1SOG19
PHI vs SEATrevor ZegrasCWizLine 2.00 · 58.3% overBook 46.7% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+100Hit+1.00uPHI vs SEA5SOG
PHI vs SEATrevor ZegrasCWizLine 2.00 · 58.3% overBook 46.7% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+100Hit+1.00uPHI vs SEA5SOG20
NSH vs VGKFilip ForsbergLWWizLine 2.50 · 55.1% underBook 43.6% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+115Miss−1.00uNSH vs VGK7SOG
NSH vs VGKFilip ForsbergLWWizLine 2.50 · 55.1% underBook 43.6% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+115Miss−1.00uNSH vs VGK7SOG21
NSH vs VGKBrady SkjeiDWizLine 1.15 · 68.2% underBook 57.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−160Miss−1.00uNSH vs VGK2SOG
NSH vs VGKBrady SkjeiDWizLine 1.15 · 68.2% underBook 57.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−160Miss−1.00uNSH vs VGK2SOG22
PHI vs SEATyson FoersterRWWizLine 2.19 · 62.9% overBook 52.2% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−125Hit+0.80uPHI vs SEA2SOG
PHI vs SEATyson FoersterRWWizLine 2.19 · 62.9% overBook 52.2% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−125Hit+0.80uPHI vs SEA2SOG23
NYI vs VANKyle PalmieriCWizLine 2.25 · 61.3% underBook 50.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−115Hit+0.87uNYI vs VAN2SOG
NYI vs VANKyle PalmieriCWizLine 2.25 · 61.3% underBook 50.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−115Hit+0.87uNYI vs VAN2SOG24
TBL @ NYRZemgus GirgensonsCWizLine 1.28 · 63.7% underBook 53.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−130Miss−1.00u
TBL @ NYR2SOG
TBL @ NYRZemgus GirgensonsCWizLine 1.28 · 63.7% underBook 53.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−130Miss−1.00uTBL @ NYR2SOG25
CBJ vs FLAKent JohnsonCWizLine 1.52 · 55.8% underBook 45.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+105Miss−1.00u
CBJ vs FLA3SOG
CBJ vs FLAKent JohnsonCWizLine 1.52 · 55.8% underBook 45.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+105Miss−1.00uCBJ vs FLA3SOG26
TBL @ NYRErik CernakDWizLine 1.09 · 70.4% underBook 60.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−190Hit+0.53uTBL @ NYR1SOG
TBL @ NYRErik CernakDWizLine 1.09 · 70.4% underBook 60.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−190Hit+0.53uTBL @ NYR1SOG27
CHI vs PITBowen ByramDWizLine 1.33 · 61.9% underBook 51.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83u
CHI vs PIT0SOG
CHI vs PITBowen ByramDWizLine 1.33 · 61.9% underBook 51.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83uCHI vs PIT0SOG28
TBL @ NYRVictor HedmanDWizLine 1.11 · 69.8% underBook 60.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−185Hit+0.54uTBL @ NYR1SOG
TBL @ NYRVictor HedmanDWizLine 1.11 · 69.8% underBook 60.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−185Hit+0.54uTBL @ NYR1SOG29
ANA vs CGYBeckett SenneckeRWWizLine 2.63 · 52.1% underBook 42.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+125Miss−1.00uANA vs CGY4SOG
ANA vs CGYBeckett SenneckeRWWizLine 2.63 · 52.1% underBook 42.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+125Miss−1.00uANA vs CGY4SOG30
TBL @ NYRJohn CarlsonDWizLine 2.00 · 67.8% underBook 58.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−165Miss−1.00uTBL @ NYR3SOG
TBL @ NYRJohn CarlsonDWizLine 2.00 · 67.8% underBook 58.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−165Miss−1.00uTBL @ NYR3SOGNot picks. Nothing here was posted — this is every priced player, graded the morning after, so the record can't be cherry-picked. Tonight's shots on goal board →