NHL Shots on Goal
Every skater's shot rate per 60 minutes, shrunk toward his position so a fourth-liner's hot week doesn't read as a top line.
Thu, Oct 15, graded
2026-27 · 2822 gradedThu, Oct 15−9.82u91-89 · 50.6%
Season to date−36.78u1491-1331 · 52.8%
Every over, blind−261.32u1339-1483 · 47.4%
Every player a book priced, graded the morning after on the side our number preferred at the close. Not picks — nothing here was posted. Units are a flat 1u at the best closing price on that side across books, which is a little kinder than any one book. The dashed cell takes the over on every line with no model at all — if we can't beat that, the number isn't adding anything.
Thu, Oct 15 · graded at the close
182 skaters a book priced, across 11 games. Each is graded on the side our number preferred at the close, at the line most books hung and the best closing price on that side. Green hit, red missed.
Games11
Position
Result
SkaterMatchupResult
1
EDM vs UTALeon DraisaitlCWizLine 2.41 · 57.4% underBook 41.7% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+126Miss−1.00u
EDM vs UTA3SOG
EDM vs UTALeon DraisaitlCWizLine 2.41 · 57.4% underBook 41.7% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+126Miss−1.00uEDM vs UTA3SOG2
CHI vs WPGRoman KantserovRWWizLine 1.94 · 69.2% underBook 54.9% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−140Hit+0.71u
CHI vs WPG0SOG
CHI vs WPGRoman KantserovRWWizLine 1.94 · 69.2% underBook 54.9% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−140Hit+0.71uCHI vs WPG0SOG3
EDM vs UTAIsaac HowardLWWizLine 1.10 · 70.1% underBook 55.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−150Hit+0.67uEDM vs UTA1SOG
EDM vs UTAIsaac HowardLWWizLine 1.10 · 70.1% underBook 55.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−150Hit+0.67uEDM vs UTA1SOG4
STL @ MINAdam JiricekDWizLine 1.42 · 59.1% underBook 46.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+100Hit+1.00u
STL @ MIN1SOG
STL @ MINAdam JiricekDWizLine 1.42 · 59.1% underBook 46.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+100Hit+1.00uSTL @ MIN1SOG5
PHI @ DETMichael BuntingLWWizLine 1.25 · 64.8% underBook 53.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−135Miss−1.00u
PHI @ DET3SOG
PHI @ DETMichael BuntingLWWizLine 1.25 · 64.8% underBook 53.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−135Miss−1.00uPHI @ DET3SOG6
SJS @ NSHDarnell NurseDWizLine 2.00 · 58.3% overBook 47.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−105Void
SJS @ NSH—
SJS @ NSHDarnell NurseDWizLine 2.00 · 58.3% overBook 47.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−105VoidSJS @ NSH—7
NSH vs SJSVitali PinchukCWizLine 1.34 · 72.7% overBook 62.0% at the closeOver 0.5 SOG−200Miss−1.00u
NSH vs SJS0SOG
NSH vs SJSVitali PinchukCWizLine 1.34 · 72.7% overBook 62.0% at the closeOver 0.5 SOG−200Miss−1.00uNSH vs SJS0SOG8
EDM vs UTAVasily PodkolzinRWWizLine 2.06 · 66.1% underBook 56.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69uEDM vs UTA2SOG
EDM vs UTAVasily PodkolzinRWWizLine 2.06 · 66.1% underBook 56.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69uEDM vs UTA2SOG9
NYI @ OTTMatthew SchaeferDWizLine 2.48 · 55.6% underBook 46.0% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+105Miss−1.00u
NYI @ OTT3SOG
NYI @ OTTMatthew SchaeferDWizLine 2.48 · 55.6% underBook 46.0% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+105Miss−1.00uNYI @ OTT3SOG10
FLA vs VANBrady TkachukLWWizLine 3.17 · 61.2% underBook 52.5% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−130Miss−1.00u
FLA vs VAN6SOG
FLA vs VANBrady TkachukLWWizLine 3.17 · 61.2% underBook 52.5% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−130Miss−1.00uFLA vs VAN6SOG11
NSH vs SJSRyan O'ReillyCWizLine 2.15 · 62.0% overBook 53.4% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−135Hit+0.74uNSH vs SJS4SOG
NSH vs SJSRyan O'ReillyCWizLine 2.15 · 62.0% overBook 53.4% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−135Hit+0.74uNSH vs SJS4SOG12
BUF @ TORZach BensonLWWizLine 2.34 · 66.2% overBook 57.6% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−155Hit+0.65u
BUF @ TOR4SOG
BUF @ TORZach BensonLWWizLine 2.34 · 66.2% overBook 57.6% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−155Hit+0.65uBUF @ TOR4SOG13
MIN vs STLJoel Eriksson EkCWizLine 2.56 · 53.6% underBook 45.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+110Miss−1.00u
MIN vs STL3SOG
MIN vs STLJoel Eriksson EkCWizLine 2.56 · 53.6% underBook 45.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+110Miss−1.00uMIN vs STL3SOG14
PHI @ DETDenver BarkeyCWizLine 1.13 · 68.8% underBook 60.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−185Hit+0.54uPHI @ DET1SOG
PHI @ DETDenver BarkeyCWizLine 1.13 · 68.8% underBook 60.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−185Hit+0.54uPHI @ DET1SOG15
EDM vs UTAEvan BouchardDWizLine 2.45 · 56.3% underBook 48.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−102Miss−1.00uEDM vs UTA6SOG
EDM vs UTAEvan BouchardDWizLine 2.45 · 56.3% underBook 48.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−102Miss−1.00uEDM vs UTA6SOG16
VGK vs CGYDylan CoghlanDWizLine 1.06 · 71.4% underBook 63.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−210Miss−1.00u
VGK vs CGY3SOG
VGK vs CGYDylan CoghlanDWizLine 1.06 · 71.4% underBook 63.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−210Miss−1.00uVGK vs CGY3SOG17
MIN vs STLMaxim ShabanovRWWizLine 1.39 · 60.0% underBook 52.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−125Hit+0.80uMIN vs STL0SOG
MIN vs STLMaxim ShabanovRWWizLine 1.39 · 60.0% underBook 52.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−125Hit+0.80uMIN vs STL0SOG18
SJS @ NSHJacob TroubaDWizLine 1.99 · 57.8% overBook 50.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−110Miss−1.00uSJS @ NSH1SOG
SJS @ NSHJacob TroubaDWizLine 1.99 · 57.8% overBook 50.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−110Miss−1.00uSJS @ NSH1SOG19
MIN vs STLMatt BoldyLWWizLine 3.10 · 62.6% underBook 54.8% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−140Miss−1.00uMIN vs STL8SOG
MIN vs STLMatt BoldyLWWizLine 3.10 · 62.6% underBook 54.8% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−140Miss−1.00uMIN vs STL8SOG20
OTT vs NYICarter YakemchukDWizLine 1.24 · 65.1% underBook 57.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−160Hit+0.63u
OTT vs NYI1SOG
OTT vs NYICarter YakemchukDWizLine 1.24 · 65.1% underBook 57.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−160Hit+0.63uOTT vs NYI1SOG21
VGK vs CGYTrevor ConnellyLWWizLine 1.80 · 47.3% underBook 39.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+135Hit+1.35uVGK vs CGY1SOG
VGK vs CGYTrevor ConnellyLWWizLine 1.80 · 47.3% underBook 39.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+135Hit+1.35uVGK vs CGY1SOG22
EDM vs UTAKasperi KapanenRWWizLine 1.64 · 52.0% underBook 44.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+112Hit+1.12uEDM vs UTA1SOG
EDM vs UTAKasperi KapanenRWWizLine 1.64 · 52.0% underBook 44.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+112Hit+1.12uEDM vs UTA1SOG23
DET vs PHIAlex DeBrincatRWWizLine 3.30 · 58.4% underBook 51.0% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00u
DET vs PHI4SOG
DET vs PHIAlex DeBrincatRWWizLine 3.30 · 58.4% underBook 51.0% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00uDET vs PHI4SOG24
PHI @ DETPorter MartoneRWWizLine 1.63 · 52.3% underBook 45.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+105Hit+1.05uPHI @ DET1SOG
PHI @ DETPorter MartoneRWWizLine 1.63 · 52.3% underBook 45.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+105Hit+1.05uPHI @ DET1SOG25
EDM vs UTAMattias EkholmDWizLine 1.41 · 59.4% underBook 52.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−125Miss−1.00uEDM vs UTA2SOG
EDM vs UTAMattias EkholmDWizLine 1.41 · 59.4% underBook 52.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−125Miss−1.00uEDM vs UTA2SOG26
FLA vs VANMatthew TkachukLWWizLine 2.61 · 52.3% underBook 45.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+110Hit+1.10uFLA vs VAN1SOG
FLA vs VANMatthew TkachukLWWizLine 2.61 · 52.3% underBook 45.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+110Hit+1.10uFLA vs VAN1SOG27
NYI @ OTTMatias MaccelliLWWizLine 1.30 · 63.0% underBook 55.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−145Miss−1.00uNYI @ OTT2SOG
NYI @ OTTMatias MaccelliLWWizLine 1.30 · 63.0% underBook 55.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−145Miss−1.00uNYI @ OTT2SOG28
NJD vs NYRJack HughesCWizLine 3.56 · 53.4% underBook 46.5% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG+105Hit+1.05u
NJD vs NYR3SOG
NJD vs NYRJack HughesCWizLine 3.56 · 53.4% underBook 46.5% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG+105Hit+1.05uNJD vs NYR3SOG29
PHI @ DETTrevor ZegrasCWizLine 1.96 · 57.3% overBook 50.6% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00uPHI @ DET1SOG
PHI @ DETTrevor ZegrasCWizLine 1.96 · 57.3% overBook 50.6% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00uPHI @ DET1SOG30
OTT vs NYIDrake BathersonRWWizLine 2.07 · 66.0% underBook 59.4% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−175Hit+0.57uOTT vs NYI2SOG
OTT vs NYIDrake BathersonRWWizLine 2.07 · 66.0% underBook 59.4% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−175Hit+0.57uOTT vs NYI2SOGNot picks. Nothing here was posted — this is every priced player, graded the morning after, so the record can't be cherry-picked. Tonight's shots on goal board →