NHL Shots on Goal
Every skater's shot rate per 60 minutes, shrunk toward his position so a fourth-liner's hot week doesn't read as a top line.
Fri, Oct 16, graded
2026-27 · 2822 gradedFri, Oct 16−5.72u17-20 · 45.9%
Season to date−36.78u1491-1331 · 52.8%
Every over, blind−261.32u1339-1483 · 47.4%
Every player a book priced, graded the morning after on the side our number preferred at the close. Not picks — nothing here was posted. Units are a flat 1u at the best closing price on that side across books, which is a little kinder than any one book. The dashed cell takes the over on every line with no model at all — if we can't beat that, the number isn't adding anything.
Fri, Oct 16 · graded at the close
38 skaters a book priced, across 2 games. Each is graded on the side our number preferred at the close, at the line most books hung and the best closing price on that side. Green hit, red missed.
Games2
Position
Result
SkaterMatchupResult
1
ANA vs BOSCutter GauthierLWWizLine 3.05 · 63.6% underBook 50.0% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00u
ANA vs BOS4SOG
ANA vs BOSCutter GauthierLWWizLine 3.05 · 63.6% underBook 50.0% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uANA vs BOS4SOG2
ANA vs BOSJudd CaulfieldRWWizLine 1.35 · 61.3% underBook 48.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−110Hit+0.91uANA vs BOS0SOG
ANA vs BOSJudd CaulfieldRWWizLine 1.35 · 61.3% underBook 48.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−110Hit+0.91uANA vs BOS0SOG3
COL vs PITCale MakarDWizLine 2.20 · 62.6% underBook 50.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−110Hit+0.91u
COL vs PIT2SOG
COL vs PITCale MakarDWizLine 2.20 · 62.6% underBook 50.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−110Hit+0.91uCOL vs PIT2SOG4
ANA vs BOSNikita KlepovRWWizLine 1.13 · 68.8% underBook 57.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−160Hit+0.63uANA vs BOS0SOG
ANA vs BOSNikita KlepovRWWizLine 1.13 · 68.8% underBook 57.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−160Hit+0.63uANA vs BOS0SOG5
ANA vs BOSRoger McQueenCWizLine 1.33 · 62.0% underBook 52.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−125Miss−1.00uANA vs BOS5SOG
ANA vs BOSRoger McQueenCWizLine 1.33 · 62.0% underBook 52.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−125Miss−1.00uANA vs BOS5SOG6
BOS @ ANADavid PastrnakRWWizLine 3.01 · 64.5% underBook 55.7% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−140Miss−1.00u
BOS @ ANA4SOG
BOS @ ANADavid PastrnakRWWizLine 3.01 · 64.5% underBook 55.7% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−140Miss−1.00uBOS @ ANA4SOG7
PIT @ COLEvgeni MalkinCWizLine 2.33 · 66.1% overBook 57.8% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−155Hit+0.65u
PIT @ COL2SOG
PIT @ COLEvgeni MalkinCWizLine 2.33 · 66.1% overBook 57.8% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−155Hit+0.65uPIT @ COL2SOG8
PIT @ COLBryan RustRWWizLine 2.07 · 65.8% underBook 58.0% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−160Hit+0.63uPIT @ COL2SOG
PIT @ COLBryan RustRWWizLine 2.07 · 65.8% underBook 58.0% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−160Hit+0.63uPIT @ COL2SOG9
BOS @ ANAJames HagensCWizLine 1.53 · 55.3% underBook 47.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uBOS @ ANA2SOG
BOS @ ANAJames HagensCWizLine 1.53 · 55.3% underBook 47.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uBOS @ ANA2SOG10
COL vs PITNazem KadriCWizLine 2.43 · 56.7% underBook 49.0% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−106Miss−1.00uCOL vs PIT4SOG
COL vs PITNazem KadriCWizLine 2.43 · 56.7% underBook 49.0% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−106Miss−1.00uCOL vs PIT4SOG11
BOS @ ANANikita ZadorovDWizLine 1.33 · 61.9% underBook 54.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69uBOS @ ANA0SOG
BOS @ ANANikita ZadorovDWizLine 1.33 · 61.9% underBook 54.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69uBOS @ ANA0SOG12
COL vs PITJaden SchwartzLWWizLine 1.52 · 55.6% underBook 49.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−115Hit+0.87uCOL vs PIT1SOG
COL vs PITJaden SchwartzLWWizLine 1.52 · 55.6% underBook 49.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−115Hit+0.87uCOL vs PIT1SOG13
ANA vs BOSBeckett SenneckeRWWizLine 2.67 · 51.2% underBook 45.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+110Hit+1.10uANA vs BOS1SOG
ANA vs BOSBeckett SenneckeRWWizLine 2.67 · 51.2% underBook 45.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+110Hit+1.10uANA vs BOS1SOG14
PIT @ COLErik KarlssonDWizLine 1.90 · 44.3% underBook 38.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+142Miss−1.00uPIT @ COL2SOG
PIT @ COLErik KarlssonDWizLine 1.90 · 44.3% underBook 38.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+142Miss−1.00uPIT @ COL2SOG15
COL vs PITBrock NelsonCWizLine 2.13 · 61.5% overBook 56.1% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−150Miss−1.00uCOL vs PIT1SOG
COL vs PITBrock NelsonCWizLine 2.13 · 61.5% overBook 56.1% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−150Miss−1.00uCOL vs PIT1SOG16
PIT @ COLBen KindelCWizLine 1.97 · 57.5% overBook 52.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−130Miss−1.00uPIT @ COL1SOG
PIT @ COLBen KindelCWizLine 1.97 · 57.5% overBook 52.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−130Miss−1.00uPIT @ COL1SOG17
COL vs PITArtturi LehkonenLWWizLine 2.08 · 60.3% overBook 55.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−150Hit+0.67uCOL vs PIT3SOG
COL vs PITArtturi LehkonenLWWizLine 2.08 · 60.3% overBook 55.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−150Hit+0.67uCOL vs PIT3SOG18
PIT @ COLSidney CrosbyCWizLine 2.18 · 63.1% underBook 58.4% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−146Hit+0.68uPIT @ COL2SOG
PIT @ COLSidney CrosbyCWizLine 2.18 · 63.1% underBook 58.4% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−146Hit+0.68uPIT @ COL2SOG19
COL vs PITNathan MacKinnonCWizLine 3.86 · 47.5% underBook 43.0% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG+122Miss−1.00uCOL vs PIT9SOG
COL vs PITNathan MacKinnonCWizLine 3.86 · 47.5% underBook 43.0% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG+122Miss−1.00uCOL vs PIT9SOG20
BOS @ ANAElias LindholmCWizLine 1.60 · 53.2% underBook 49.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−105Hit+0.95uBOS @ ANA1SOG
BOS @ ANAElias LindholmCWizLine 1.60 · 53.2% underBook 49.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−105Hit+0.95uBOS @ ANA1SOG21
PIT @ COLEgor ChinakhovRWWizLine 1.98 · 42.4% underBook 38.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+140VoidPIT @ COL—
PIT @ COLEgor ChinakhovRWWizLine 1.98 · 42.4% underBook 38.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+140VoidPIT @ COL—22
BOS @ ANAHampus LindholmDWizLine 1.38 · 60.1% underBook 56.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−155Hit+0.65uBOS @ ANA0SOG
BOS @ ANAHampus LindholmDWizLine 1.38 · 60.1% underBook 56.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−155Hit+0.65uBOS @ ANA0SOG23
BOS @ ANACharlie McAvoyDWizLine 1.69 · 50.5% underBook 47.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uBOS @ ANA2SOG
BOS @ ANACharlie McAvoyDWizLine 1.69 · 50.5% underBook 47.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uBOS @ ANA2SOG24
BOS @ ANAFraser MintenCWizLine 1.67 · 50.9% underBook 47.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−102Miss−1.00uBOS @ ANA2SOG
BOS @ ANAFraser MintenCWizLine 1.67 · 50.9% underBook 47.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−102Miss−1.00uBOS @ ANA2SOG25
ANA vs BOSJackson LaCombeDWizLine 1.93 · 56.4% overBook 53.4% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−135Miss−1.00uANA vs BOS1SOG
ANA vs BOSJackson LaCombeDWizLine 1.93 · 56.4% overBook 53.4% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−135Miss−1.00uANA vs BOS1SOG26
PIT @ COLTommy NovakCWizLine 1.64 · 48.2% overBook 45.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+105Hit+1.05uPIT @ COL4SOG
PIT @ COLTommy NovakCWizLine 1.64 · 48.2% overBook 45.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+105Hit+1.05uPIT @ COL4SOG27
COL vs PITSam MalinskiDWizLine 1.86 · 54.5% overBook 52.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−125Miss−1.00uCOL vs PIT0SOG
COL vs PITSam MalinskiDWizLine 1.86 · 54.5% overBook 52.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−125Miss−1.00uCOL vs PIT0SOG28
PIT @ COLRickard RakellRWWizLine 2.39 · 57.8% underBook 55.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−132Miss−1.00uPIT @ COL5SOG
PIT @ COLRickard RakellRWWizLine 2.39 · 57.8% underBook 55.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−132Miss−1.00uPIT @ COL5SOG29
COL vs PITDevon ToewsDWizLine 1.62 · 47.4% overBook 46.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+105Hit+1.05uCOL vs PIT2SOG
COL vs PITDevon ToewsDWizLine 1.62 · 47.4% overBook 46.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+105Hit+1.05uCOL vs PIT2SOG30
BOS @ ANAJJ PeterkaRWWizLine 1.95 · 57.0% overBook 55.7% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−146Hit+0.68uBOS @ ANA2SOG
BOS @ ANAJJ PeterkaRWWizLine 1.95 · 57.0% overBook 55.7% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−146Hit+0.68uBOS @ ANA2SOGNot picks. Nothing here was posted — this is every priced player, graded the morning after, so the record can't be cherry-picked. Tonight's shots on goal board →