NHL Shots on Goal
Every skater's shot rate per 60 minutes, shrunk toward his position so a fourth-liner's hot week doesn't read as a top line.
Sun, Oct 18, graded
2026-27 · 2822 gradedSun, Oct 18−6.84u16-20 · 44.4%
Season to date−36.78u1491-1331 · 52.8%
Every over, blind−261.32u1339-1483 · 47.4%
Every player a book priced, graded the morning after on the side our number preferred at the close. Not picks — nothing here was posted. Units are a flat 1u at the best closing price on that side across books, which is a little kinder than any one book. The dashed cell takes the over on every line with no model at all — if we can't beat that, the number isn't adding anything.
Sun, Oct 18 · graded at the close
36 skaters a book priced, across 2 games. Each is graded on the side our number preferred at the close, at the line most books hung and the best closing price on that side. Green hit, red missed.
Games2
Position
Result
SkaterMatchupResult
1
CGY vs CARAydar SunievLWWizLine 1.26 · 64.2% underBook 55.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−150Hit+0.67u
CGY vs CAR0SOG
CGY vs CARAydar SunievLWWizLine 1.26 · 64.2% underBook 55.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−150Hit+0.67uCGY vs CAR0SOG2
CAR @ CGYSean WalkerDWizLine 2.06 · 59.8% overBook 51.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−125Hit+0.80u
CAR @ CGY2SOG
CAR @ CGYSean WalkerDWizLine 2.06 · 59.8% overBook 51.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−125Hit+0.80uCAR @ CGY2SOG3
CBJ @ MINCharlie CoyleCWizLine 2.00 · 58.2% overBook 51.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83u
CBJ @ MIN2SOG
CBJ @ MINCharlie CoyleCWizLine 2.00 · 58.2% overBook 51.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83uCBJ @ MIN2SOG4
CGY vs CARZayne ParekhDWizLine 1.33 · 62.1% underBook 55.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69uCGY vs CAR1SOG
CGY vs CARZayne ParekhDWizLine 1.33 · 62.1% underBook 55.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69uCGY vs CAR1SOG5
CGY vs CARSimon NemecDWizLine 1.41 · 59.4% underBook 52.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−130Hit+0.77uCGY vs CAR1SOG
CGY vs CARSimon NemecDWizLine 1.41 · 59.4% underBook 52.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−130Hit+0.77uCGY vs CAR1SOG6
CAR @ CGYK'Andre MillerDWizLine 1.79 · 52.5% overBook 46.9% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+105Hit+1.05uCAR @ CGY2SOG
CAR @ CGYK'Andre MillerDWizLine 1.79 · 52.5% overBook 46.9% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+105Hit+1.05uCAR @ CGY2SOG7
MIN vs CBJMaxim ShabanovRWWizLine 1.49 · 56.8% underBook 51.2% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−125Hit+0.80u
MIN vs CBJ0SOG
MIN vs CBJMaxim ShabanovRWWizLine 1.49 · 56.8% underBook 51.2% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−125Hit+0.80uMIN vs CBJ0SOG8
CGY vs CARJoel FarabeeLWWizLine 1.75 · 48.7% underBook 43.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+118Miss−1.00uCGY vs CAR2SOG
CGY vs CARJoel FarabeeLWWizLine 1.75 · 48.7% underBook 43.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+118Miss−1.00uCGY vs CAR2SOG9
CBJ @ MINSean MonahanCWizLine 1.71 · 50.3% overBook 45.1% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+115Miss−1.00uCBJ @ MIN0SOG
CBJ @ MINSean MonahanCWizLine 1.71 · 50.3% overBook 45.1% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+115Miss−1.00uCBJ @ MIN0SOG10
CGY vs CARMorgan FrostCWizLine 1.59 · 53.5% underBook 48.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+100Miss−1.00uCGY vs CAR3SOG
CGY vs CARMorgan FrostCWizLine 1.59 · 53.5% underBook 48.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+100Miss−1.00uCGY vs CAR3SOG11
CGY vs CARMatt CoronatoRWWizLine 2.10 · 65.0% underBook 60.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−180Miss−1.00uCGY vs CAR3SOG
CGY vs CARMatt CoronatoRWWizLine 2.10 · 65.0% underBook 60.2% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−180Miss−1.00uCGY vs CAR3SOG12
MIN vs CBJJoel Eriksson EkCWizLine 2.71 · 50.1% underBook 45.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+108Hit+1.08uMIN vs CBJ2SOG
MIN vs CBJJoel Eriksson EkCWizLine 2.71 · 50.1% underBook 45.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+108Hit+1.08uMIN vs CBJ2SOG13
CGY vs CARMatvei GridinRWWizLine 1.61 · 52.8% underBook 48.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+100Miss−1.00uCGY vs CAR2SOG
CGY vs CARMatvei GridinRWWizLine 1.61 · 52.8% underBook 48.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+100Miss−1.00uCGY vs CAR2SOG14
MIN vs CBJBlake ColemanLWWizLine 2.22 · 63.6% overBook 59.4% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−170Hit+0.59uMIN vs CBJ2SOG
MIN vs CBJBlake ColemanLWWizLine 2.22 · 63.6% overBook 59.4% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−170Hit+0.59uMIN vs CBJ2SOG15
MIN vs CBJKirill KaprizovLWWizLine 3.22 · 60.2% underBook 56.1% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−145Miss−1.00uMIN vs CBJ5SOG
MIN vs CBJKirill KaprizovLWWizLine 3.22 · 60.2% underBook 56.1% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−145Miss−1.00uMIN vs CBJ5SOG16
CBJ @ MINMatthew KniesLWWizLine 1.84 · 54.0% overBook 50.2% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−120Miss−1.00uCBJ @ MIN0SOG
CBJ @ MINMatthew KniesLWWizLine 1.84 · 54.0% overBook 50.2% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−120Miss−1.00uCBJ @ MIN0SOG17
CAR @ CGYJaccob SlavinDWizLine 1.69 · 49.6% overBook 46.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+100Hit+1.00uCAR @ CGY3SOG
CAR @ CGYJaccob SlavinDWizLine 1.69 · 49.6% overBook 46.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+100Hit+1.00uCAR @ CGY3SOG18
CBJ @ MINConor GarlandRWWizLine 1.40 · 59.6% underBook 56.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69uCBJ @ MIN1SOG
CBJ @ MINConor GarlandRWWizLine 1.40 · 59.6% underBook 56.0% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69uCBJ @ MIN1SOG19
MIN vs CBJMatt BoldyLWWizLine 3.46 · 55.2% underBook 51.6% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uMIN vs CBJ6SOG
MIN vs CBJMatt BoldyLWWizLine 3.46 · 55.2% underBook 51.6% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uMIN vs CBJ6SOG20
CBJ @ MINAdam FantilliCWizLine 2.79 · 51.7% overBook 48.2% at the closeOver 2.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uCBJ @ MIN2SOG
CBJ @ MINAdam FantilliCWizLine 2.79 · 51.7% overBook 48.2% at the closeOver 2.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uCBJ @ MIN2SOG21
CBJ @ MINKent JohnsonCWizLine 1.84 · 46.0% underBook 42.7% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+125Miss−1.00uCBJ @ MIN2SOG
CBJ @ MINKent JohnsonCWizLine 1.84 · 46.0% underBook 42.7% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+125Miss−1.00uCBJ @ MIN2SOG22
MIN vs CBJDanila YurovRWWizLine 1.37 · 60.7% underBook 57.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−160Miss−1.00uMIN vs CBJ4SOG
MIN vs CBJDanila YurovRWWizLine 1.37 · 60.7% underBook 57.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−160Miss−1.00uMIN vs CBJ4SOG23
CAR @ CGYShayne GostisbehereDWizLine 1.91 · 56.0% overBook 52.8% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−130Hit+0.77uCAR @ CGY3SOG
CAR @ CGYShayne GostisbehereDWizLine 1.91 · 56.0% overBook 52.8% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−130Hit+0.77uCAR @ CGY3SOG24
CBJ @ MINValeri NichushkinRWWizLine 2.04 · 59.2% overBook 56.1% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−148Miss−1.00uCBJ @ MIN1SOG
CBJ @ MINValeri NichushkinRWWizLine 2.04 · 59.2% overBook 56.1% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−148Miss−1.00uCBJ @ MIN1SOG25
CGY vs CARMikael BacklundCWizLine 2.01 · 41.6% underBook 38.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+145Miss−1.00uCGY vs CAR2SOG
CGY vs CARMikael BacklundCWizLine 2.01 · 41.6% underBook 38.6% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+145Miss−1.00uCGY vs CAR2SOG26
CAR @ CGYNikolaj EhlersLWWizLine 2.35 · 58.7% underBook 56.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−148Miss−1.00uCAR @ CGY3SOG
CAR @ CGYNikolaj EhlersLWWizLine 2.35 · 58.7% underBook 56.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−148Miss−1.00uCAR @ CGY3SOG27
MIN vs CBJRyan HartmanRWWizLine 1.73 · 49.3% underBook 46.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+100Miss−1.00uMIN vs CBJ2SOG
MIN vs CBJRyan HartmanRWWizLine 1.73 · 49.3% underBook 46.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+100Miss−1.00uMIN vs CBJ2SOG28
CAR @ CGYBradly NadeauLWWizLine 1.49 · 56.6% underBook 54.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−140Hit+0.71uCAR @ CGY1SOG
CAR @ CGYBradly NadeauLWWizLine 1.49 · 56.6% underBook 54.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−140Hit+0.71uCAR @ CGY1SOG29
CGY vs CARYegor SharangovichCWizLine 1.49 · 56.7% underBook 54.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−135Miss−1.00uCGY vs CAR6SOG
CGY vs CARYegor SharangovichCWizLine 1.49 · 56.7% underBook 54.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−135Miss−1.00uCGY vs CAR6SOG30
CBJ @ MINZach WerenskiDWizLine 3.33 · 42.1% overBook 40.7% at the closeOver 3.5 SOG+130Miss−1.00uCBJ @ MIN3SOG
CBJ @ MINZach WerenskiDWizLine 3.33 · 42.1% overBook 40.7% at the closeOver 3.5 SOG+130Miss−1.00uCBJ @ MIN3SOGNot picks. Nothing here was posted — this is every priced player, graded the morning after, so the record can't be cherry-picked. Tonight's shots on goal board →