NHL Shots on Goal
Every skater's shot rate per 60 minutes, shrunk toward his position so a fourth-liner's hot week doesn't read as a top line.
Mon, Oct 19, graded
2026-27 · 2791 gradedMon, Oct 19−5.53u30-31 · 49.2%
Season to date−28.76u1480-1311 · 53.0%
Every over, blind−253.30u1327-1464 · 47.5%
Every player a book priced, graded the morning after on the side our number preferred at the close. Not picks — nothing here was posted. Units are a flat 1u at the best closing price on that side across books, which is a little kinder than any one book. The dashed cell takes the over on every line with no model at all — if we can't beat that, the number isn't adding anything.
Mon, Oct 19 · graded at the close
62 skaters a book priced, across 4 games. Each is graded on the side our number preferred at the close, at the line most books hung and the best closing price on that side. Green hit, red missed.
Games4
Position
Result
SkaterMatchupResult
1
PHI vs COLMichael BuntingLWWizLine 1.24 · 65.0% underBook 51.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83u
PHI vs COL1SOG
PHI vs COLMichael BuntingLWWizLine 1.24 · 65.0% underBook 51.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83uPHI vs COL1SOG2
PHI vs COLPorter MartoneRWWizLine 1.51 · 56.0% underBook 43.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+115Hit+1.15uPHI vs COL1SOG
PHI vs COLPorter MartoneRWWizLine 1.51 · 56.0% underBook 43.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+115Hit+1.15uPHI vs COL1SOG3
COL @ PHICale MakarDWizLine 2.12 · 64.7% underBook 52.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−125Miss−1.00u
COL @ PHI4SOG
COL @ PHICale MakarDWizLine 2.12 · 64.7% underBook 52.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−125Miss−1.00uCOL @ PHI4SOG4
SJS @ TORKiefer SherwoodLWWizLine 2.18 · 62.6% overBook 52.6% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00u
SJS @ TOR0SOG
SJS @ TORKiefer SherwoodLWWizLine 2.18 · 62.6% overBook 52.6% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00uSJS @ TOR0SOG5
SJS @ TORJacob TroubaDWizLine 2.04 · 59.2% overBook 49.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00uSJS @ TOR1SOG
SJS @ TORJacob TroubaDWizLine 2.04 · 59.2% overBook 49.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00uSJS @ TOR1SOG6
UTA vs PITLogan CooleyCWizLine 1.75 · 48.7% underBook 39.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+135Miss−1.00u
UTA vs PIT2SOG
UTA vs PITLogan CooleyCWizLine 1.75 · 48.7% underBook 39.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+135Miss−1.00uUTA vs PIT2SOG7
ANA @ NYRMikael GranlundCWizLine 2.12 · 61.3% overBook 52.4% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83u
ANA @ NYR2SOG
ANA @ NYRMikael GranlundCWizLine 2.12 · 61.3% overBook 52.4% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83uANA @ NYR2SOG8
ANA @ NYRCutter GauthierLWWizLine 3.05 · 63.6% underBook 55.7% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−140Miss−1.00uANA @ NYR5SOG
ANA @ NYRCutter GauthierLWWizLine 3.05 · 63.6% underBook 55.7% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−140Miss−1.00uANA @ NYR5SOG9
PIT @ UTAKris LetangDWizLine 1.29 · 63.3% underBook 56.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−160Miss−1.00u
PIT @ UTA3SOG
PIT @ UTAKris LetangDWizLine 1.29 · 63.3% underBook 56.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−160Miss−1.00uPIT @ UTA3SOG10
TOR vs SJSAuston MatthewsCWizLine 3.45 · 55.4% underBook 48.8% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−105Hit+0.95u
TOR vs SJS3SOG
TOR vs SJSAuston MatthewsCWizLine 3.45 · 55.4% underBook 48.8% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−105Hit+0.95uTOR vs SJS3SOG11
NYR vs ANAPavel DorofeyevRWWizLine 2.66 · 51.3% underBook 44.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+120Miss−1.00u
NYR vs ANA5SOG
NYR vs ANAPavel DorofeyevRWWizLine 2.66 · 51.3% underBook 44.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+120Miss−1.00uNYR vs ANA5SOG12
ANA @ NYRLeo CarlssonCWizLine 2.51 · 45.2% overBook 38.9% at the closeOver 2.5 SOG+150Miss−1.00uANA @ NYR2SOG
ANA @ NYRLeo CarlssonCWizLine 2.51 · 45.2% overBook 38.9% at the closeOver 2.5 SOG+150Miss−1.00uANA @ NYR2SOG13
PHI vs COLMatvei MichkovRWWizLine 1.72 · 49.5% underBook 43.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+115Miss−1.00uPHI vs COL2SOG
PHI vs COLMatvei MichkovRWWizLine 1.72 · 49.5% underBook 43.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+115Miss−1.00uPHI vs COL2SOG14
SJS @ TORWill SmithCWizLine 2.70 · 49.5% overBook 43.4% at the closeOver 2.5 SOG+115Hit+1.15uSJS @ TOR4SOG
SJS @ TORWill SmithCWizLine 2.70 · 49.5% overBook 43.4% at the closeOver 2.5 SOG+115Hit+1.15uSJS @ TOR4SOG15
ANA @ NYRJackson LaCombeDWizLine 1.86 · 54.5% overBook 48.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−106Miss−1.00uANA @ NYR1SOG
ANA @ NYRJackson LaCombeDWizLine 1.86 · 54.5% overBook 48.5% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−106Miss−1.00uANA @ NYR1SOG16
COL @ PHIArtturi LehkonenLWWizLine 2.10 · 60.7% overBook 54.8% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−140Hit+0.71uCOL @ PHI2SOG
COL @ PHIArtturi LehkonenLWWizLine 2.10 · 60.7% overBook 54.8% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−140Hit+0.71uCOL @ PHI2SOG17
PIT @ UTABryan RustRWWizLine 2.03 · 66.9% underBook 61.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−190Hit+0.53uPIT @ UTA0SOG
PIT @ UTABryan RustRWWizLine 2.03 · 66.9% underBook 61.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−190Hit+0.53uPIT @ UTA0SOG18
NYR vs ANAAdam FoxDWizLine 1.44 · 58.2% underBook 52.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−118Hit+0.85uNYR vs ANA0SOG
NYR vs ANAAdam FoxDWizLine 1.44 · 58.2% underBook 52.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−118Hit+0.85uNYR vs ANA0SOG19
SJS @ TORMason MarchmentLWWizLine 1.99 · 57.8% overBook 52.2% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−125Hit+0.80uSJS @ TOR4SOG
SJS @ TORMason MarchmentLWWizLine 1.99 · 57.8% overBook 52.2% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−125Hit+0.80uSJS @ TOR4SOG20
SJS @ TORDarnell NurseDWizLine 2.20 · 63.1% overBook 57.8% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−165Hit+0.61uSJS @ TOR3SOG
SJS @ TORDarnell NurseDWizLine 2.20 · 63.1% overBook 57.8% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−165Hit+0.61uSJS @ TOR3SOG21
PIT @ UTASidney CrosbyCWizLine 2.19 · 62.9% underBook 57.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−160Hit+0.63uPIT @ UTA1SOG
PIT @ UTASidney CrosbyCWizLine 2.19 · 62.9% underBook 57.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−160Hit+0.63uPIT @ UTA1SOG22
UTA vs PITBarrett HaytonCWizLine 1.44 · 58.3% underBook 53.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−140Miss−1.00uUTA vs PIT2SOG
UTA vs PITBarrett HaytonCWizLine 1.44 · 58.3% underBook 53.3% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−140Miss−1.00uUTA vs PIT2SOG23
PIT @ UTAEvgeni MalkinCWizLine 2.24 · 64.0% overBook 59.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−170Miss−1.00uPIT @ UTA1SOG
PIT @ UTAEvgeni MalkinCWizLine 2.24 · 64.0% overBook 59.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−170Miss−1.00uPIT @ UTA1SOG24
NYR vs ANAEeli TolvanenRWWizLine 1.46 · 57.8% underBook 52.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−130Hit+0.77uNYR vs ANA1SOG
NYR vs ANAEeli TolvanenRWWizLine 1.46 · 57.8% underBook 52.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−130Hit+0.77uNYR vs ANA1SOG25
COL @ PHINazem KadriCWizLine 2.51 · 54.9% underBook 49.9% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−105Hit+0.95uCOL @ PHI1SOG
COL @ PHINazem KadriCWizLine 2.51 · 54.9% underBook 49.9% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−105Hit+0.95uCOL @ PHI1SOG26
UTA vs PITDylan GuentherRWWizLine 2.70 · 50.4% underBook 45.6% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+110Hit+1.10uUTA vs PIT2SOG
UTA vs PITDylan GuentherRWWizLine 2.70 · 50.4% underBook 45.6% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+110Hit+1.10uUTA vs PIT2SOG27
TOR vs SJSWilliam NylanderRWWizLine 2.71 · 50.1% underBook 45.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+100Miss−1.00uTOR vs SJS3SOG
TOR vs SJSWilliam NylanderRWWizLine 2.71 · 50.1% underBook 45.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG+100Miss−1.00uTOR vs SJS3SOG28
NYR vs ANAGabe PerreaultRWWizLine 1.71 · 49.7% underBook 45.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+105Miss−1.00uNYR vs ANA4SOG
NYR vs ANAGabe PerreaultRWWizLine 1.71 · 49.7% underBook 45.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+105Miss−1.00uNYR vs ANA4SOG29
PHI vs COLTyson FoersterRWWizLine 1.99 · 42.0% underBook 38.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+140VoidPHI vs COL—
PHI vs COLTyson FoersterRWWizLine 1.99 · 42.0% underBook 38.1% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+140VoidPHI vs COL—30
COL @ PHIGabriel LandeskogLWWizLine 1.98 · 57.8% overBook 54.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−135Miss−1.00uCOL @ PHI0SOG
COL @ PHIGabriel LandeskogLWWizLine 1.98 · 57.8% overBook 54.0% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−135Miss−1.00uCOL @ PHI0SOGNot picks. Nothing here was posted — this is every priced player, graded the morning after, so the record can't be cherry-picked. Tonight's shots on goal board →