NHL Shots on Goal
Every skater's shot rate per 60 minutes, shrunk toward his position so a fourth-liner's hot week doesn't read as a top line.
Tue, Oct 20, graded
2026-27 · 2791 gradedTue, Oct 20−15.59u87-92 · 48.6%
Season to date−28.76u1480-1311 · 53.0%
Every over, blind−253.30u1327-1464 · 47.5%
Every player a book priced, graded the morning after on the side our number preferred at the close. Not picks — nothing here was posted. Units are a flat 1u at the best closing price on that side across books, which is a little kinder than any one book. The dashed cell takes the over on every line with no model at all — if we can't beat that, the number isn't adding anything.
Tue, Oct 20 · graded at the close
179 skaters a book priced, across 11 games. Each is graded on the side our number preferred at the close, at the line most books hung and the best closing price on that side. Green hit, red missed.
Games11
Position
Result
SkaterMatchupResult
1
EDM vs MINLeon DraisaitlCWizLine 2.62 · 72.7% underBook 55.3% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−145Miss−1.00u
EDM vs MIN4SOG
EDM vs MINLeon DraisaitlCWizLine 2.62 · 72.7% underBook 55.3% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−145Miss−1.00uEDM vs MIN4SOG2
WSH vs LAKAlex OvechkinLWWizLine 2.15 · 63.8% underBook 51.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−110Hit+0.91u
WSH vs LAK2SOG
WSH vs LAKAlex OvechkinLWWizLine 2.15 · 63.8% underBook 51.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−110Hit+0.91uWSH vs LAK2SOG3
MTL vs SJSZachary BolducRWWizLine 1.53 · 55.4% underBook 43.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+115Hit+1.15u
MTL vs SJS0SOG
MTL vs SJSZachary BolducRWWizLine 1.53 · 55.4% underBook 43.4% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+115Hit+1.15uMTL vs SJS0SOG4
ANA @ NYIMikael GranlundCWizLine 2.09 · 60.6% overBook 49.9% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00u
ANA @ NYI1SOG
ANA @ NYIMikael GranlundCWizLine 2.09 · 60.6% overBook 49.9% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−115Miss−1.00uANA @ NYI1SOG5
BOS @ DALDavid PastrnakRWWizLine 2.87 · 67.4% underBook 56.8% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69u
BOS @ DAL0SOG
BOS @ DALDavid PastrnakRWWizLine 2.87 · 67.4% underBook 56.8% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69uBOS @ DAL0SOG6
VGK vs TBLTrevor ConnellyLWWizLine 1.62 · 52.6% underBook 42.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+125Hit+1.25u
VGK vs TBL1SOG
VGK vs TBLTrevor ConnellyLWWizLine 1.62 · 52.6% underBook 42.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+125Hit+1.25uVGK vs TBL1SOG7
MTL vs SJSNoah DobsonDWizLine 1.88 · 70.8% underBook 60.9% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−185Miss−1.00uMTL vs SJS4SOG
MTL vs SJSNoah DobsonDWizLine 1.88 · 70.8% underBook 60.9% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−185Miss−1.00uMTL vs SJS4SOG8
NYI vs ANAVictor EklundRWWizLine 1.39 · 60.0% underBook 50.2% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−120Miss−1.00u
NYI vs ANA4SOG
NYI vs ANAVictor EklundRWWizLine 1.39 · 60.0% underBook 50.2% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−120Miss−1.00uNYI vs ANA4SOG9
NYI vs ANAAnthony DuclairLWWizLine 1.21 · 66.1% underBook 56.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−155Hit+0.65uNYI vs ANA1SOG
NYI vs ANAAnthony DuclairLWWizLine 1.21 · 66.1% underBook 56.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−155Hit+0.65uNYI vs ANA1SOG10
VAN vs CARFilip ChytilCWizLine 1.47 · 57.5% underBook 47.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00u
VAN vs CAR2SOG
VAN vs CARFilip ChytilCWizLine 1.47 · 57.5% underBook 47.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−105Miss−1.00uVAN vs CAR2SOG11
CAR @ VANK'Andre MillerDWizLine 1.78 · 52.2% overBook 42.8% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+115Hit+1.15u
CAR @ VAN2SOG
CAR @ VANK'Andre MillerDWizLine 1.78 · 52.2% overBook 42.8% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+115Hit+1.15uCAR @ VAN2SOG12
SEA vs DETVince DunnDWizLine 2.09 · 65.4% underBook 56.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−155Hit+0.65u
SEA vs DET1SOG
SEA vs DETVince DunnDWizLine 2.09 · 65.4% underBook 56.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−155Hit+0.65uSEA vs DET1SOG13
DET @ SEAAndrew CoppCWizLine 1.91 · 55.8% overBook 47.1% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+105Miss−1.00u
DET @ SEA0SOG
DET @ SEAAndrew CoppCWizLine 1.91 · 55.8% overBook 47.1% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG+105Miss−1.00uDET @ SEA0SOG14
TOR @ CBJJack RoslovicCWizLine 2.30 · 65.3% overBook 56.6% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69u
TOR @ CBJ2SOG
TOR @ CBJJack RoslovicCWizLine 2.30 · 65.3% overBook 56.6% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−145Hit+0.69uTOR @ CBJ2SOG15
BOS @ DALFraser MintenCWizLine 1.63 · 52.4% underBook 43.7% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+115Miss−1.00uBOS @ DAL3SOG
BOS @ DALFraser MintenCWizLine 1.63 · 52.4% underBook 43.7% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+115Miss−1.00uBOS @ DAL3SOG16
VAN vs CARLinus KarlssonCWizLine 1.48 · 57.0% underBook 48.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−110Miss−1.00uVAN vs CAR2SOG
VAN vs CARLinus KarlssonCWizLine 1.48 · 57.0% underBook 48.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−110Miss−1.00uVAN vs CAR2SOG17
STL vs WPGDalibor DvorskyRWWizLine 1.31 · 62.7% underBook 54.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−140Hit+0.71u
STL vs WPG1SOG
STL vs WPGDalibor DvorskyRWWizLine 1.31 · 62.7% underBook 54.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−140Hit+0.71uSTL vs WPG1SOG18
MIN @ EDMMatt BoldyLWWizLine 3.32 · 58.2% underBook 50.0% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−115Hit+0.87u
MIN @ EDM3SOG
MIN @ EDMMatt BoldyLWWizLine 3.32 · 58.2% underBook 50.0% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−115Hit+0.87uMIN @ EDM3SOG19
VGK vs TBLMitch MarnerRWWizLine 2.01 · 67.5% underBook 59.6% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−170Miss−1.00uVGK vs TBL5SOG
VGK vs TBLMitch MarnerRWWizLine 2.01 · 67.5% underBook 59.6% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−170Miss−1.00uVGK vs TBL5SOG20
SJS @ MTLIvar StenbergLWWizLine 1.59 · 53.6% underBook 45.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+110Miss−1.00u
SJS @ MTL3SOG
SJS @ MTLIvar StenbergLWWizLine 1.59 · 53.6% underBook 45.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+110Miss−1.00uSJS @ MTL3SOG21
DAL vs BOSTyler SeguinCWizLine 1.63 · 52.3% underBook 44.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+115Hit+1.15u
DAL vs BOS1SOG
DAL vs BOSTyler SeguinCWizLine 1.63 · 52.3% underBook 44.5% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+115Hit+1.15uDAL vs BOS1SOG22
SEA vs DETKaapo KakkoRWWizLine 1.23 · 65.4% underBook 57.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−165Hit+0.61uSEA vs DET0SOG
SEA vs DETKaapo KakkoRWWizLine 1.23 · 65.4% underBook 57.8% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG−165Hit+0.61uSEA vs DET0SOG23
SEA vs DETBobby McMannCWizLine 2.33 · 59.3% underBook 51.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83uSEA vs DET2SOG
SEA vs DETBobby McMannCWizLine 2.33 · 59.3% underBook 51.8% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83uSEA vs DET2SOG24
STL vs WPGMason McTavishCWizLine 2.24 · 61.6% underBook 54.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−135Hit+0.74uSTL vs WPG0SOG
STL vs WPGMason McTavishCWizLine 2.24 · 61.6% underBook 54.1% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−135Hit+0.74uSTL vs WPG0SOG25
NYI vs ANAKyle PalmieriCWizLine 2.03 · 66.8% underBook 59.4% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−160Miss−1.00uNYI vs ANA3SOG
NYI vs ANAKyle PalmieriCWizLine 2.03 · 66.8% underBook 59.4% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−160Miss−1.00uNYI vs ANA3SOG26
NJD vs COLJack HughesCWizLine 3.35 · 57.6% underBook 50.4% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−110Hit+0.91u
NJD vs COL3SOG
NJD vs COLJack HughesCWizLine 3.35 · 57.6% underBook 50.4% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−110Hit+0.91uNJD vs COL3SOG27
DAL vs BOSMiro HeiskanenDWizLine 1.78 · 47.7% underBook 40.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+130Hit+1.30uDAL vs BOS0SOG
DAL vs BOSMiro HeiskanenDWizLine 1.78 · 47.7% underBook 40.9% at the closeUnder 1.5 SOG+130Hit+1.30uDAL vs BOS0SOG28
COL @ NJDCale MakarDWizLine 2.21 · 62.3% underBook 55.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−135Miss−1.00u
COL @ NJD3SOG
COL @ NJDCale MakarDWizLine 2.21 · 62.3% underBook 55.5% at the closeUnder 2.5 SOG−135Miss−1.00uCOL @ NJD3SOG29
COL @ NJDMartin NecasCWizLine 2.41 · 67.7% overBook 61.1% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−190Hit+0.53uCOL @ NJD3SOG
COL @ NJDMartin NecasCWizLine 2.41 · 67.7% overBook 61.1% at the closeOver 1.5 SOG−190Hit+0.53uCOL @ NJD3SOG30
MTL vs SJSCole CaufieldRWWizLine 3.35 · 57.5% underBook 51.0% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83uMTL vs SJS3SOG
MTL vs SJSCole CaufieldRWWizLine 3.35 · 57.5% underBook 51.0% at the closeUnder 3.5 SOG−120Hit+0.83uMTL vs SJS3SOGNot picks. Nothing here was posted — this is every priced player, graded the morning after, so the record can't be cherry-picked. Tonight's shots on goal board →