Como vs Genoa
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Como4
Genoa1Full timeStadio Luigi FerrarisBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Friday, September 4, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–4
Proj0.9–1.5
GenoaHOME20%0.9proj+393fair+469mkt+2.7%Draw29%—proj+250fair+277mkt+2.1%
ComoAWAY✓51%1.5proj-105fair-127mkt-4.7%O2.5 42% · mkt 48% ✗BTTS 46% · mkt 51% ✗
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Anastasios Douvikas1+ Goals44%42%+170✗ 0Gabriel Strefezza1+ Goals32%––DNPJayden Addai1+ Goals26%––DNPNico Paz1+ Goals19%36%+195✓ 1Alberto Moreno1+ Goals16%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Anastasios Douvikas1+ Shots96%97%-3000✓ 3Nico Paz1+ Shots96%99%-10000✓ 3Jayden Addai1+ Shots91%––DNPJesús Rodriguez1+ Shots91%95%-2000DNPÁlvaro Morata1+ Shots88%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Anastasios Douvikas1+ Shots on Target79%77%-340✗ 0Gabriel Strefezza1+ Shots on Target64%––DNPJayden Addai1+ Shots on Target58%––DNPNico Paz1+ Shots on Target56%79%-380✓ 2Álvaro Morata1+ Shots on Target50%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Nico PazO0.521%30%+230✗ 0Gabriel StrefezzaO0.519%––DNPMáximo PerroneO0.516%19%+440✗ 0Martin BaturinaO0.514%21%+380✗ 0Assane DiaoO0.513%20%+390✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Anastasios Douvikas50%––✗ 0Gabriel Strefezza45%––DNPNico Paz36%––✓ 1Jayden Addai33%––DNPMartin Baturina28%––✓ 1Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsComo lead 2-01 draw6–2 on goals