Sassuolo vs Bologna
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Sassuolo2
Bologna2Full timeRenato Dall'AraBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, September 6, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–2
Proj1.2–1.2
BolognaHOME34%1.2proj+194fair+105mkt-14.8%Draw31%—proj+224fair+262mkt+3.2%
SassuoloAWAY✗35%1.2proj+184fair+317mktModel lean+11.2%O2.5 41% · mkt 51% ✗BTTS 49% · mkt 56% ✗
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Domenico Berardi1+ Goals25%27%+330✗ 0Armand Laurienté1+ Goals19%23%+420✗ 0Cristian Volpato1+ Goals18%17%+500✗ 0Andrea Pinamonti1+ Goals17%––DNP
Riccardo Orsolini1+ Goals16%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Armand Laurienté1+ Shots97%94%-1500✓ 3Armand Laurienté2+ Shots86%73%-270✓ 3Andrea Pinamonti1+ Shots86%––DNP
Domenico Berardi1+ Shots81%90%-900✓ 3Jon Rowe1+ Shots81%––DNP
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Armand Laurienté1+ Shots on Target68%55%-120✗ 0Cristian Volpato1+ Shots on Target52%53%-115✗ 0Andrea Pinamonti1+ Shots on Target50%––DNP
Domenico Berardi1+ Shots on Target50%57%-135✓ 2Jon Rowe1+ Shots on Target47%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Armand LaurientéO0.513%24%+320✗ 0Tarik MuharemovicO0.511%––DNP
Domenico BerardiO0.510%22%+350✗ 0Andrea PinamontiO0.510%––DNP
Dan NdoyeO0.510%––DNP
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Domenico Berardi33%––✗ 0Armand Laurienté30%––✗ 0Cristian Volpato26%––✗ 0Andrea Pinamonti25%––DNP
Tarik Muharemovic22%––DNP
Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsLevel at 0 apiece2 draws3–3 on goals