Venezia vs Frosinone
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Venezia2
Frosinone3Full timeStadio Benito StirpeBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, September 6, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 3–2
Proj1.6–0.7
FrosinoneHOME✓58%1.6proj-136fair+185mktModel lean+22.5%Draw28%—proj+263fair+260mkt-0.2%
VeneziaAWAY15%0.7proj+571fair+169mkt-22.3%O2.5 39% · mkt 52% ✗BTTS 40% · mkt 60% ✗
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Alessio Zerbin1+ Goals10%22%+410DNPJohn Yeboah1+ Goals9%34%+190✓ 1Alfred Duncan1+ Goals5%––DNPGianluca Busio1+ Goals5%19%+430✗ 0Andrei Radu1+ Goals4%––DNP
Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
John Yeboah1+ Shots79%98%-4000✓ 4Alessio Zerbin1+ Shots74%87%-650DNPGianluca Busio1+ Shots60%94%-1500✓ 2Andrei Radu1+ Shots48%––DNP
Alfred Duncan1+ Shots47%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
John Yeboah1+ Shots on Target42%70%-230✓ 2Alessio Zerbin1+ Shots on Target37%50%+100DNPAndrei Radu1+ Shots on Target19%––DNP
Gianluca Busio1+ Shots on Target18%51%-105✗ 0Alfred Duncan1+ Shots on Target18%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Alessio ZerbinO0.56%23%+330DNPAndrei RaduO0.55%––DNP
John YeboahO0.54%30%+230✗ 0Alfred DuncanO0.54%––DNPGianluca BusioO0.54%15%+550✓ 1Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Alessio Zerbin15%––DNPJohn Yeboah13%––✓ 1Andrei Radu9%––DNP
Alfred Duncan9%––DNPGianluca Busio8%––✓ 1Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingFrosinone lead 1-03–2 on goals