Atalanta vs AS Roma
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Atalanta1
AS Roma2Full timeOlimpicoBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 5, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–1
Proj1.3–0.9
AS RomaHOME✓45%1.3proj+123fair-133mkt-12.3%Draw31%—proj+223fair+315mktModel lean+6.8%
AtalantaAWAY24%0.9proj+312fair+427mktModel lean+5.3%O2.5 38% · mkt 55% ✗BTTS 44% · mkt 57% ✗
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mateo Retegui1+ Goals22%––DNPMatìas Soulè1+ Goals20%30%+245✓ 1Eldor Shomurodov1+ Goals18%––DNPGianluca Scamacca1+ Goals17%26%+290✗ 0Paulo Dybala1+ Goals15%36%+190✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Paulo Dybala1+ Shots92%98%-4000✓ 6Eldor Shomurodov1+ Shots87%––DNPMateo Retegui1+ Shots87%––DNPMatìas Soulè1+ Shots85%95%-2000✓ 7Gianluca Scamacca1+ Shots85%95%-2000✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Paulo Dybala1+ Shots on Target59%71%-250✓ 2Matìas Soulè1+ Shots on Target54%66%-190✓ 3Gianluca Scamacca1+ Shots on Target51%66%-190✓ 1Eldor Shomurodov1+ Shots on Target50%––DNPMateo Retegui1+ Shots on Target48%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Paulo DybalaO0.533%38%+165✓ 1WesleyO0.514%24%+310✗ 0Gianluca ManciniO0.514%17%+500✗ 0Mateo ReteguiO0.512%––DNPEldor ShomurodovO0.511%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Paulo Dybala43%––✓ 1Mateo Retegui31%––DNPMatìas Soulè28%––✓ 2Eldor Shomurodov27%––DNPGianluca Scamacca22%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsLevel at 1 apiece3–3 on goals