Napoli vs Fiorentina
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Napoli–
Fiorentina–6:30 AM ETStadio Artemio Franchi📺 Paramount+Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Sunday, September 20, 2026MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
6:30 AM ET
Proj1.0–1.7
FiorentinaHOME20%1.0proj+392fair+247mkt-8.5%Draw26%—proj+279fair+260mkt-1.4%
NapoliAWAY53%1.7proj-114fair+130mktModel lean+9.9%O2.5 50% · mkt 48%BTTS 52%
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
Serie A tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Rasmus Højlund1+ Goals41%––Franco Mastantuono1+ Goals34%––Scott McTominay1+ Goals29%––Alisson Santos1+ Goals25%––Matteo Politano1+ Goals25%––Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Scott McTominay1+ Shots96%––Franco Mastantuono1+ Shots95%––Alisson Santos1+ Shots93%––Rasmus Højlund1+ Shots91%––Matteo Politano1+ Shots89%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Franco Mastantuono1+ Shots on Target69%––Scott McTominay1+ Shots on Target64%––Alisson Santos1+ Shots on Target63%––Rasmus Højlund1+ Shots on Target63%––Matteo Politano1+ Shots on Target57%––Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Antonio VergaraO0.521%––Rasmus HøjlundO0.517%––Matteo PolitanoO0.516%––Amir RrahmaniO0.514%––Giovanni Di LorenzoO0.513%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Rasmus Højlund51%––Franco Mastantuono37%––Matteo Politano37%––Scott McTominay37%––Antonio Vergara36%––The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 4 meetingsNapoli lead 4-010–3 on goals