Napoli vs Internazionale
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Napoli2
Inter Milan3Full timeSan SiroBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 5, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 3–2
Proj1.3–1.0
InternazionaleHOME✓41%1.3proj+146fair—mkt—Draw31%—proj+225fair—mkt—
NapoliAWAY29%1.0proj+250fair—mkt—O2.5 40% ✗BTTS 47% ✗
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Hakan Çalhanoglu1+ Goals31%––✗ 0Rasmus Højlund1+ Goals24%––✓ 1Giacomo Raspadori1+ Goals24%––DNP
Lautaro Martínez1+ Goals24%––✓ 2Joaquín Correa1+ Goals22%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lautaro Martínez1+ Shots97%––✓ 6Giacomo Raspadori1+ Shots89%––DNP
Pio Esposito1+ Shots89%––✓ 2Marcus Thuram1+ Shots89%––✓ 5Luis Henrique1+ Shots86%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lautaro Martínez1+ Shots on Target60%––✓ 3Pio Esposito1+ Shots on Target53%––✓ 1Giacomo Raspadori1+ Shots on Target49%––DNP
Rasmus Højlund1+ Shots on Target48%––✓ 2Marcus Thuram1+ Shots on Target48%––✓ 1Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Nicolò BarellaO0.519%––✗ 0Pio EspositoO0.515%––✗ 0Federico DimarcoO0.514%––✓ 1Amir RrahmaniO0.512%––✗ 0Lautaro MartínezO0.511%––✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Hakan Çalhanoglu36%––✗ 0Lautaro Martínez32%––✓ 2Pio Esposito32%––✗ 0Rasmus Højlund31%––✓ 1Joaquín Correa30%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsLevel at 1 apiece1 draw6–5 on goals