Torino vs Fiorentina
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Torino2
Fiorentina1Full timeStadio Artemio FranchiBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 5, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–2
Proj1.3–1.6
FiorentinaHOME31%1.3proj+224fair+106mkt-17.6%Draw27%—proj+274fair+247mkt-2.1%
TorinoAWAY✓42%1.6proj+136fair+340mktModel lean+19.7%O2.5 56% · mkt 47% ✓BTTS 60% · mkt 52% ✓
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ché Adams1+ Goals33%27%+300✓ 1Albert Gudmundsson1+ Goals23%––DNP
Moise Kean1+ Goals21%––DNP
Nikola Vlasic1+ Goals21%18%+480✗ 0Giovanni Simeone1+ Goals21%28%+290✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ché Adams1+ Shots94%93%-1250✓ 1Moise Kean1+ Shots93%––DNP
Albert Gudmundsson1+ Shots93%––DNP
Giovanni Simeone1+ Shots93%95%-2000✗ 0Duván Zapata1+ Shots84%93%-1250DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ché Adams1+ Shots on Target67%56%-125✓ 1Moise Kean1+ Shots on Target63%––DNP
Albert Gudmundsson1+ Shots on Target60%––DNP
Giovanni Simeone1+ Shots on Target55%62%-160✗ 0Duván Zapata1+ Shots on Target48%60%-150DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Alessio CacciamaniO0.523%14%+600✗ 0Gvidas GineitisO0.517%13%+700✗ 0Moise KeanO0.517%––DNP
Ché AdamsO0.512%18%+470✗ 0Nikola VlasicO0.512%19%+420✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ché Adams41%––✓ 1Moise Kean34%––DNP
Alessio Cacciamani32%––✗ 0Albert Gudmundsson31%––DNP
Nikola Vlasic31%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsTorino lead 1-02 draws3–2 on goals