AC Milan vs Lazio
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Milan–
Lazio–12:00 PM ETOlimpico📺 Paramount+Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Saturday, September 12, 2026MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
12:00 PM ET
Proj1.0–1.0
LazioHOME31%1.0proj+222fair+257mkt+3.1%Draw33%—proj+199fair+234mkt+3.5%
AC MilanAWAY35%1.0proj+182fair+139mkt-6.4%O2.5 33% · mkt 42%BTTS 41% · mkt 49%
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Gonçalo Ramos1+ Goals23%33%+220Alphadjo Cissè1+ Goals19%22%+370Tijjani Noslin1+ Goals16%22%+390Andrea Pinamonti1+ Goals14%23%+340Davide Frattesi1+ Goals13%15%+600Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Gonçalo Ramos1+ Shots94%97%-3000Tijjani Noslin1+ Shots84%93%-1250Gonçalo Ramos2+ Shots78%83%-500Mattia Zaccagni1+ Shots76%90%-900Matteo Cancellieri1+ Shots74%93%-1250Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Gonçalo Ramos1+ Shots on Target62%69%-220Tijjani Noslin1+ Shots on Target47%63%-170Matteo Cancellieri1+ Shots on Target43%58%-140Mattia Zaccagni1+ Shots on Target39%52%-110Andrea Pinamonti1+ Shots on Target39%63%-170Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Samuel ChukwuezeO0.515%22%+360Danilho DoekhiO0.511%6%+1600Tijjani NoslinO0.510%19%+440Alexis SaelemaekersO0.59%23%+330Adrien RabiotO0.59%13%+650The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsLazio lead 2-13–2 on goals