Lecce vs Cagliari
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Lecce0
Cagliari1Full timeUnipol DomusBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Monday, September 7, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–0
Proj1.3–0.9
CagliariHOME43%1.3proj+132fair+121mkt-2.1%Draw31%—proj+220fair+229mkt+0.8%
LecceAWAY26%0.9proj+289fair+306mkt+1.0%O2.5 38% · mkt 44%BTTS 45% · mkt 50%
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sebastiano Esposito1+ Goals20%––
Nicolas Viola1+ Goals16%––Jesper Karlsson1+ Goals13%––
Tiago Gabriel1+ Goals12%5%+20000Andrea Belotti1+ Goals12%––
Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sebastiano Esposito1+ Shots85%––
Michael Folorunsho1+ Shots81%––
Nicolas Viola1+ Shots77%––Santiago Pierotti1+ Shots76%85%-5500Jesper Karlsson1+ Shots75%––
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sebastiano Esposito1+ Shots on Target47%––
Santiago Pierotti1+ Shots on Target42%40%+1500Gianluca Gaetano1+ Shots on Target39%––
Jesper Karlsson1+ Shots on Target39%––
Tommaso Augello1+ Shots on Target34%––Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Gianluca GaetanoO0.517%––
Michel AdopoO0.515%15%+5500Tommaso AugelloO0.514%––Marco PalestraO0.513%––
Lassana CoulibalyO0.511%11%+8500Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sebastiano Esposito28%––
Gianluca Gaetano26%––
Tommaso Augello23%––Nicolas Viola21%––Michel Adopo21%––0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsCagliari lead 3-07–2 on goals