Lecce vs AC Milan
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Lecce–
Milan–2:45 PM ETSan Siro📺 Paramount+Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Sunday, September 20, 2026MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
2:45 PM ET
Proj1.4–0.7
AC MilanHOME51%1.4proj-105fair-246mkt-19.8%Draw31%—proj+227fair+451mktModel lean+12.4%
LecceAWAY18%0.7proj+450fair+845mktModel lean+7.6%O2.5 34% · mkt 53%BTTS 39%
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Gonçalo Ramos1+ Goals25%––Alphadjo Cissè1+ Goals22%––Samuel Chukwueze1+ Goals18%––Rafael Leão1+ Goals15%––
Christopher Nkunku1+ Goals14%––
Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Gonçalo Ramos1+ Shots95%––Samuel Chukwueze1+ Shots91%––Gonçalo Ramos2+ Shots81%––Mohamed Kaba1+ Shots78%––Rafael Leão1+ Shots77%––
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Gonçalo Ramos1+ Shots on Target63%––Samuel Chukwueze1+ Shots on Target61%––Mohamed Kaba1+ Shots on Target43%––Rafael Leão1+ Shots on Target39%––
Youssouf Fofana1+ Shots on Target36%––
Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Samuel ChukwuezeO0.529%––Adrien RabiotO0.514%––Christian PulisicO0.512%––Theo HernándezO0.511%––Tijjani ReijndersO0.511%––
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Samuel Chukwueze41%––Gonçalo Ramos30%––Alphadjo Cissè26%––Adrien Rabiot26%––Rafael Leão22%––
The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsAC Milan lead 3-06–2 on goals